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Facebook is king in the reign of the Web 2.0 ridicule

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Somewhere in between the launch of the Centrino platform and the present day I seem to have lost track on what the web means to a large share of online users, or have I? I mean, I’m cool with the “Web 2.0″ revolution, you know, user-driven content, blogging (how could I not?), platform independence, YouTube, social networking, and the list goes on…

But when I see at least a dozen sites reporting only on web startups getting serious funding like there is no tomorrow, I have to ask myself the question, did I miss something or is it 1999 all over again?

But wait, I’m not screaming it’s the Internet boom and bubble as we knew it in the past, unlike then today there are thousands of businesses relying on the web, actually doing something useful and generating millions in revenues. However I have to remain skeptical about the myriad of web businesses coming out of nowhere with big plans to take over the world… or at least become the “next Google” (phrase often used by traditional media that have no clue or online fanboys to describe a startup with the slight bit of promise, though the later prefer to say Google is now too big and too old, so the next Facebook would be more appropiate).

Ah, and there is Facebook… To be completely fair with them, I do believe they have a real stance in the web, not to mention they brought some elegance (before the open API) to a market otherwise dominated by the horrible Myspace. It’s not their fault its valuation has been catapulted to the stratosphere while today they are only trying to hang in there. You may argue how could I ever say this when Microsoft just agreed to invest $240 million for a 1.6% stake in the company, but it’s simple. A company that turns no profit and has such a limited scope in the real world cannot be valued at $15 billion. Only deep pocketed Microsoft could have invested so blindly with the only justification of getting some action where they are lacking against main web competitor Google. The latest news from Facebook? Ridiculous, of course, practically wanting to sell out your profile information and collecting further data for advertising purposes (that will then be shared with other parties).

So far the announcement is too recent to cause major reactions but what is at stake is Facebook’s own popularity when you consider social networking is very trendy and it could easily be handed off to one of its competitors if users are pissed off enough. The underlying reason to do this is that somehow, at some point, they will need to monetize its audience…

But back to the bubble talk. It’s unfortunate but investors seem to be driving this new wave of web services where not all but a large portion of startups seem to be aiming at a big acquisition (of themselves) rather than driving towards uniqueness and value.

So I leave it to you to decide, perhaps I’m just being short-sighted, only time will tell.

Written by Julio Franco

November 10th, 2007 at 12:05 pm

Posted in blog,the web

2 Comments so far

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  1. I don’t think its so much a boom and bubble as it is an iteration… an evolutionary step. AJAX and related technologies are really enabling websites to provide applications that respond in a manner that is just so much more satisfying to use, and many are using this effectively. Along the way, many startups are getting some good ideas, and selling those ideas to investors, but in the end most of these “next Googles” will come to pretty much nothing. Then, a few years down the line, we’ll get another iteration, Web 3.0 (likely to involve something to do with data and metadata getting smarter) and we’ll have the same process all over again.
    This pattern is likely to persist in the Web for some time to come, until it evolves into its eventual form. Web 4.0, for example, will likely involve the Internet moving beyond personal computing and into other areas of our lives and into new devices.. like reading glasses that can do video conferencing, fridges that can email you when the meat is off, etc. Each of these evolutionary steps will come with many such “next Googles”, with only a small handful of them being sucessful.

    Phantasm66

    11 Nov 07 at 9:37 am

  2. Web 2.0 is the next evolution of platform. It’s making waves b/c Microsoft ignored it for so long b/c they were milking the Windows cow way too long. Other companies, like Facebook, Salesforce.com and Google have embraced it and come up with some pretty innovative ways to use the web. User aren’t embracing the idea of the internet as a platform, they’re using it. It is self evident.

    So the big question is, are they going to make money. It’s not easy to to say, but these companies are relevant now and they have the users attention. This is what counts. What they do with it, is up to them. Did anyone see Google making this type of money five years ago? No, but they are.

    Nick

    23 Nov 07 at 12:11 pm



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