Firefox growth rate slips

By Derek Sooman on February 28, 2005, 12:45 PM
The growth rate of new users "putting Firefox into action" has dropped. According to a recent study, Firefox has seen its U.S. growth rate for actual usage fall by nearly half since its debut. The statistics, which led to the report by WebSideStory, a Web analytics company, are based on the number of users who have not only downloaded the browser but who have installed it and are using it to view Web sites that WebSideStory tracks.

"In December, it seemed Firefox was a lock to reach 10 percent (market share) by mid-2005, ahead of the reported year-end goal of the Mozilla Foundation," Lunsford said. "Given the latest growth rates, the year-end target still appears attainable, but a midyear achievement is unlikely."

User Comments: 4

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Gnerma said:
[quote]Anyone see the mathematical flaw here? The text above is built on an assumption of steady geometric growth.[/quote]Explained here..
naylor83 said:
WebSideStory is trying to cause a stir by claiming that adoption of Firefox is slowing down. However, this is not true - not even when looking at their own numbers. WebSideStory have now removed the most misleading numbers in their report, and replaced them with more relevant figures.Using these (new) figures for a few calculations, it's clear that Firefox has seen the same average adoption rate of 0.021 percentage points per day since the beginning of December. Also, the decrease in adoption rate since November (when adoption averaged 0.037 percentage points per day) is only 42.5% [1-(0.021143/0.036786)=0.425] - not 56% [1-(15/34)=0.56] as the initial figures indicated.
Mictlantecuhtli said:
m129384634734682.html]Firefox keeps seizing IE browser market share[/url]Although the speed of Firefox spreading decreased, WebSideStory analyst Geoff Johnston doesn’t see it is "stopping or flattening," but showing "steady half-a-percent-point increase each month." He thinks that Firefox’s "new features" are "what got them where they are today."[/quote]
Phantasm66 said:
There are lies. There are damn lies. And there are statistics.Churchill said that.
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