Chip inventories have overgrown as consumer demand continues to decline

AlphaX

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Why it matters: During the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, numerous tech companies saw record profits and purchases due to the boom of home-based work and schooling. However, most major rises are followed by a sharp fall, and those same companies are now dealing with an extreme oversupply of chips and other products.

In 2020, there was a massive spike in demand for electronics that we had never seen before. Due to the lockdowns, shutdowns, and other restrictions brought on by the pandemic, workers and students were told to continue their respective work from home. Of course, not everyone had the necessary products to make that happen, thus explaining the major boom in demand.

However, as time went on and restrictions were slowly lifted, the need for such products began to dwindle. Unfortunately for many companies, the record profits and sales eventually turned into high amounts of overstock and items collecting dust on store shelves. Multiple CEOs from different chip manufacturers and OEMs have discussed their thoughts on the current situation they are facing, as seen in a report by the Wall Street Journal.

Micron's CEO, Sanjay Mehrotra, claims that the company's chip levels are "well above our target level" and that Micron is so affected by the sharp decline in demand that it recently cut approximately 10% of its overall workforce. Enrique Lores, HP's CEO, doesn't expect these issues to clear up for the industry for at least the next two quarters, but he does believe there are signs that they may begin to subside soon.

Both Intel and AMD's CEOs are also revealing issues that their respective companies are dealing with. In October, Intel's Pat Gelsinger noted, "It's just hard to see any points of good news on the horizon." Intel reported a 15% decline in sales and a 59% drop in overall profits for Q3 2022 compared to Q3 2021.

AMD has also suffered from a lack of demand in recent months, as it missed expectations for the new AM5 platform and subsequent processors. AMD has begun to ship fewer chips than there is demand for in order to clear out its excess stock. Due to this, however, Su states that OEMs who use AMD processors in their pre-built desktops or laptops have unfortunately been unable to replenish their own stock at expected levels.

PC-related manufacturers are not the only ones noticing a massive loss in demand, as the smartphone industry has also seen a drop in sales over recent months. Qualcomm, the producer of Snapdragon processors found in many Samsung phones, recently slashed expectations due to the lower demand for high-end smartphones.

For the time being, companies will have to find ways to either deal with or entirely work around the sudden decline in demand. Despite all of these setbacks, many executives still expect that chip sales will double by 2030 and surpass over $1 trillion, especially as the U.S. begins to incentivize localizing chip production.

Image credit: blue circuit board by Umberto, SODIMM RAM stick by Possessed Photography

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Lower the prices of RAM, SSDs and general PC components and see demand rise up. These companies got so greedy that they have jacked up the prices beyond regular public’s reach. Laughable motherboard prices costing $1000 and GPUs costing $1500? Give me a break !
 
I had plans to either upgrade or build a new build in January but nothing seems worthwhile with current pricing. As the last gen is going out of stock, prices are increasing and the new launches are overpriced and/or unavailable. With the DIOH skyrocketing the companies are just sitting on it trying to force our hands. I’ll just wait. Maybe keep an eye out for good used deals.
 
Lower the prices of RAM, SSDs and general PC components and see demand rise up. These companies got so greedy that they have jacked up the prices beyond regular public’s reach. Laughable motherboard prices costing $1000 and GPUs costing $1500? Give me a break !
I have to agree. Prices are out of control and need to be brought back down. I think consumers and enthusiasts have tired of prices rising to the point where one component costs as much as a complete PC - prebuilt or otherwise.

I am planning on doing several builds this year, however, what I have is good enough for what I do. I will wait until I see prices that are more agreeable to me before I do any of the builds I am planning.
 
As these companies realize the ceiling of what some consumers are willing to pay, volume sales won't be their aim or even a slice of their focus anymore. Consoles are almost to a point where someone wanting only to game, doesn't need to 'step up' to the pc platform. DIY building is on borrowed time and it's utility or even just novelty has limited time left of viability. Cloud based everything is the direction we're heading and while it may still be years before having a 'desktop' in the home won't be a thing anymore, that end is inevitable.
 
As these companies realize the ceiling of what some consumers are willing to pay, volume sales won't be their aim or even a slice of their focus anymore. Consoles are almost to a point where someone wanting only to game, doesn't need to 'step up' to the pc platform. DIY building is on borrowed time and it's utility or even just novelty has limited time left of viability. Cloud based everything is the direction we're heading and while it may still be years before having a 'desktop' in the home won't be a thing anymore, that end is inevitable.
I would not be so sure of that. Cloud computing comes with its own set of problems, too. I, for one, would rather have everything in my home rather than out on "the could" somewhere. The company I work for makes a "cloud" package of the software that I work on, and performance is nowhere near what can be accomplished on a dedicated workstation. And these, as I see it, are only a couple of the existing issues with cloud computing.

Also, industry experts have been predicting the decline and fall of enthusiast builds, as well as PC gaming, for a long time. So far, that decline and fall have failed to materialize. That's not to say that it won't, however, there has yet to be a marked decline in CPU or component sales that lasts for a significant period of time.
 
I would not be so sure of that. Cloud computing comes with its own set of problems, too. I, for one, would rather have everything in my home rather than out on "the could" somewhere. The company I work for makes a "cloud" package of the software that I work on, and performance is nowhere near what can be accomplished on a dedicated workstation. And these, as I see it, are only a couple of the existing issues with cloud computing.

Also, industry experts have been predicting the decline and fall of enthusiast builds, as well as PC gaming, for a long time. So far, that decline and fall have failed to materialize. That's not to say that it won't, however, there has yet to be a marked decline in CPU or component sales that lasts for a significant period of time.
I agree. ISPs were running like headless chickens during the pandemic when everyone was working remotely, increasing the bandwidth demand by a lot; now imagine adding the very high requirements of cloud computing...
 
I would not be so sure of that. Cloud computing comes with its own set of problems, too. I, for one, would rather have everything in my home rather than out on "the could" somewhere. The company I work for makes a "cloud" package of the software that I work on, and performance is nowhere near what can be accomplished on a dedicated workstation. And these, as I see it, are only a couple of the existing issues with cloud computing.

Also, industry experts have been predicting the decline and fall of enthusiast builds, as well as PC gaming, for a long time. So far, that decline and fall have failed to materialize. That's not to say that it won't, however, there has yet to be a marked decline in CPU or component sales that lasts for a significant period of time.
It's not going to happen overnight. Over the next 10 years all of these things will come to pass.
 
The thing is unless needing heavy multithread 24 hour performance - what we have is good enough
all those AMD vs Intel screaming matches for gaming - yeah at 1080p- which most of us do not game at.
Most of us have upgraded from Intel dual cores - you still can for cheap. 5600 or 3600- or that budget intel champ

So why not wait them out
 
And yet I see little sign of them reducing prices to stimulate growth. Outrageous prices on nearly all pc components other than ssd's. Self-fulfilling prophecy, raise prices, watch sales plummet, whine like a stuck pig that's no one is buying your overpriced parts.
 
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