SEC head warns of "nearly unavoidable" financial crisis caused by AI

midian182

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A hot potato: The loss of jobs, the death of human creativity, plagiarism, wiping out the human race – is there anything else we need to worry about when it comes to advanced AI? Yes, according to the head of the SEC: a financial crisis that is "nearly unavoidable."

Gary Gensler, chair of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, told the Financial Times that the increasing use of AI systems will almost certainly lead to the financial markets crashing within the next decade.

Gensler warns that the almost inevitable crisis will come about due to reliance on AI models developed by tech companies. He also blamed the a lack of diversity among the AI tools that are currently used by financial institutions to monitor the markets, offer advice, automate account opening, and more.

The solution, Gensler says, is to introduce regulation that oversees both the generative AI models and how they are used by Wall Street entities, which have been adopting the technology in droves since the start of the year. But the SEC head admits that this will be a "cross-regulatory challenge."

"It's frankly a hard challenge," Gensler told the FT. "It's a hard financial stability issue to address because most of our regulation is about individual institutions, individual banks, individual money market funds, individual brokers; it's just in the nature of what we do. And this is about a horizontal [matter whereby] many institutions might be relying on the same underlying base model or underlying data aggregator."

Gensler's scenario wouldn't mark the first time technology has crashed financial markets. Back in 2010, a British trader caused a "flash crash" by illegally manipulating the market by flooding the Chicago Mercantile Exchange with bogus orders from his parents' basement in London. It resulted in almost $1 trillion being wiped off the value of US shares before immediately rebounding. Regulators said that high-frequency trading algorithms played a part in the crash.

So far, AI companies have agreed to self-regulate and manage the risks posed by their technologies, but governments are calling for tighter regulation. The EU's in-the-works AI Act could force developers of generative artificial intelligence tools to submit them for review before general release. The US government, meanwhile, is still reviewing the technology to decide which aspects require regulation.

The SEC proposed new rules in July that would require broker-dealers and investment advisers to take certain steps to address conflicts of interest associated with their use of predictive analytics to interact with investors. The aim is to prevent firms from placing their interests ahead of investors' interests.

While the likes of Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are using AI models to help traders and financial advisers, Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, and Bank of America all banned employees from using ChatGPT at work earlier this year.

Center image: Third Way Think Tank

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Strangely, those that continue to argue in favor of AI seem to overlook the fact that if the buying public is unemployeed, there will be nobody to pay for the AI services. Apparently they think that AI is going to be buying something? It just dosen't take a not of brain power to see this ......
 
Sure, blame the AI for any forthcoming financial crisis. That way everyone on Wallstreet is clean. Next, adopt crypto as official currency and then blame people for losing their money.
They're looking for a scapegoat. The media is playing stories about how "well maybe there wont be a recession so you should totally invest right now".

They all know something is coming. You cant have trillions in debt without something breaking.
 
They're looking for a scapegoat. The media is playing stories about how "well maybe there wont be a recession so you should totally invest right now".

They all know something is coming. You cant have trillions in debt without something breaking.
You can if the trillions of dollars aren't real. The US Dollar has the world reserve currency status and they have the means of printing it. They could inflate the dollar to all hell, and they are, but the rest of the world cannot drop the dollar as a reserve currency without crashing their own economies. BRICS is trying this and it's not really working well. Further, BRICS is indirectly backed by oil which the rest of the world is trying reduce dependence on.

On top of that, Hamas did a dumb. The dollar is no longer the petro dollar, the dollar has been backed by the might US military since the mid 2000's. Hamas attacking Israel has only strengthened the dollar. Iran wants to start a war, China wants to start a war, Russia did start a war and India is getting pretty sick of China's s*** right now so the BRICS is falling apart. It's also not helping that the rest of the world has been sick of China's s*** for over a decade now.

So what does all this mean? It means the US has positioned itself so that even if we completely wreck our finances(pro tip: we already have, it's how we got to 33T in debt to begin with) other countries will continue accept interest payments in dollars we just print. Frankly, a war with the countries that hold massive amounts of US debt would be a good thing because it would wipe off several trillion in debt from our balance sheets.

I'm going to add a bit of speculation to the end of this. One reason I feel that the US is trying to bring manufacturing back to the US is to generate more taxable revenue. More jobs means more taxable income and I'm not talking about McDonalds or WalMart jobs. I'll use TSMC's Arizona plant as an example. Money paid out to employees in the Arizona plant trades hands and gets taxed several times. The US can generate more tax revenue without actually raising taxes.
 
Reminds me of Dune by Frank Herbert, in the backstory of the universe a long-ago war destroyed all the intelligent machines and established a new commandment in the Orange Catholic Bible : "Thou shalt not make a machine in the likeness of a human mind".
 
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