Samsung predicts Blu-ray to dry up in five years

By Justin Mann on September 4, 2008, 12:45 PM
Even the largest supporter of Blu-ray, Sony, has admitted that it is the end of the road for optical technology. At the same time they also claimed it would be around for years to come, providing plenty of capacity and versatility for quite a while. Given how long CDs and DVDs are lasting, you might assume that to be 10 or even 15 years. Maybe even more.

Not Samsung, they have a much gloomier picture of Blu-ray. They are also members of the Blu-ray disc association along with Sony, and concur that it's the last optical technology around. Where they differ from Sony is in how long Blu-ray will last. They claim it may have as little as five years. Even if it does manage to survive five years, Samsung thinks that it “definitely” doesn't have 10 left in it.

Some of the cited reasons include increased distribution of high-def content over the Internet, hardware pricing and more. It's interesting when even two big supporters of Blu-ray predict its downfall in the near future.




User Comments: 5

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DragonMaster said:
Distributing high-def through the Internet? They definitely don't live in North America....
windmill007 said:
Actually I can stream Netflixs standard def with no problem and I'm sure Almost BluRayHD is already possible...Something like satellite HD quality..Its very good but not bluray quality. So I think we will begin to see this within a year or 2 then I think it will start to explode. Streaming is the way of the future unless comcast has its way and we will be back to text based internet only.
nitefang said:
Many people have said that Blu-ray will be the end of the line and I thought so to until I read an article about holographic discs. As many of you know they will have a huge storage capacity because they can write onto many levels instead of just one.
9Nails said:
I'd technically call DVD's the end of the line. Blu-Ray's death is attributable to Sony's greed, consumer hostile DRM, and lack of features. The prices of the disc's and the players have not fallen into mainstream price points after 2 years. Sony is still fiddling with an enthusiast market ever since it first dropped a player way back in June 2006.
captaincranky said:
[b]Originally posted by 9Nails:[/b][quote]I'd technically call DVD's the end of the line. Blu-Ray's death is attributable to Sony's greed, consumer hostile DRM, and lack of features. The prices of the disc's and the players have not fallen into mainstream price points after 2 years. Sony is still fiddling with an enthusiast market ever since it first dropped a player way back in June 2006.[/quote]I have an even dimmer view of their motivation. It seems that every time a new format is released, you're supposed to go out and buy everything you already have in the new format. Since that in ten years, even the prices of blu-ray players and discs will have gotten to the point of being reasonable. How else will they be able to try and sell you yet another copy of "Dirty Dancing", without bringing out another format, then crying "foul, copyright violation", should you want to try and copy your very own disc onto the new media. You've already been coerced into buying three copies of the SOS haven't you, VHS, DVD, and Blu-Ray?[Edited by captaincranky on 2008-09-08 19:34:09]
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