New study finds little evidence of surge pricing when retailers use digital shelf labels

Skye Jacobs

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Staff
Recap: In recent years, digital shelf labels have stirred debate across the United States. Although some shoppers and lawmakers worry the technology could enable unpredictable, demand-driven price hikes, a new academic study suggests those fears may be overblown.

Research recently published by teams from the University of Texas at Austin, the University of California, San Diego, and Northwestern University analyzed five years of pricing data from a major grocery chain that adopted digital shelf labels in 2022. The study found no evidence that the store engaged in surge pricing after installing the digital labels. Temporary price hikes remained rare, affecting just 0.005 percent of products per day before the switch and increasing by only 0.0006 percentage points afterward. Researchers also observed a slight increase in product discounts following the rollout.

Despite the data, skepticism persists. Posts warning that supermarkets could exploit digital labels to instantly raise prices – like charging more for ice cream during a heatwave or umbrellas when it rains – continue to spread across social media. In response, lawmakers in several states have proposed legislation to restrict or ban the technology, citing concerns about potential abuse and its impact on local jobs. In Arizona, a bill to prohibit digital shelf labels has yet to receive a hearing, but its sponsor, Democratic state Rep. Cesar Aguilar, continues to push for greater oversight.

Some critics also raise concerns about personal privacy. Last fall, Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bob Casey sent a letter to Kroger questioning whether the grocery giant might pair electronic labels with cameras and data analytics to enable dynamic pricing. Kroger denied any link between the labels and facial recognition, insisting its pricing strategy focuses on keeping prices low to attract more customers.

Digital shelf labels are not a new invention. European supermarkets and some US retailers, such as Kohl's, have deployed them for over a decade. However, adoption in American grocery stores has lagged behind Europe, where roughly 80 percent of supermarkets use them compared to just five to ten percent in the US.

VP of Industry Strategy for Relex Solutions Amanda Oren told the Associated Press that the high upfront cost – ranging from five to twenty dollars per label – has slowed adoption. Equipping a single store with tens of thousands of products can require a significant investment.

Nevertheless, momentum is building. Walmart, the country's largest grocer, plans to install digital shelf labels in 2,300 stores by 2026. Kroger and Whole Foods are also expanding their use of the technology. Retailers tout the efficiency gains: Walmart estimates that switching from paper to digital tags reduces the time needed to update prices on 120,000 items from two days to just a few minutes. Some digital labels offer added features, such as QR codes for recipes or nutrition facts, and even help Instacart shoppers locate items more quickly.

In Europe, digital labels have enabled innovations aimed at reducing food waste. For example, Albert Heijn supermarkets in the Netherlands and Belgium use artificial intelligence to automatically lower prices on items nearing expiration, a practice that has reportedly cut food waste by more than 250 tons annually.

While the debate continues, the study's authors emphasize that grocery retailers have little incentive to alienate customers with unpredictable price changes.

"Selling groceries is not like selling a couch. It's not a one-time transaction – you want customers coming back every week," concluded study co-author Ioannis Stamatopoulos.

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Most retailers I have direct or indirect experience as an IT consultant tend to be run fairly incompetently when it comes to technology.

Case in point, Safeway and Albertsons merging was like forming a retarded Voltron, having some direct personal knowledge from folks having worked for both they were both bad, but now far worse. Now their website barely works, inventory management is a joke that their website never has things in inventory, even when I've been there and know they do, and now they've laid off all of their reasonable humans in a call center that you simply cannot speak to a human anymore.

Safeway and Albertsons was a combined 2/3's of my local market, Kroger being the other, and they're only marginally better to deal with. Kroger wanting to buy them combined terrified me, I'm glad at least the merger was stopped, but with the great orange taco running the white house now, I expect he'll be paid to let it happen.

Enshittification indeed.
 
Since it was brought up, I always laugh at people’s irrational fear of price gouging, moreso at the idea that forbidding retailers to participate in it somehow prevents it from happening. The fact of the matter is, if a good suddenly becomes scarce or if demand soars, it will either be sold at a higher price from the retailer OR by opportunistic middlemen who will buy in bulk, mark it up anyways, and most times not provide the same level of support that an authorized retailer would. I’d rather buy $20 toilet paper from Walmart than out of some guy’s garage.
 
Since it was brought up, I always laugh at people’s irrational fear of price gouging, moreso at the idea that forbidding retailers to participate in it somehow prevents it from happening. The fact of the matter is, if a good suddenly becomes scarce or if demand soars, it will either be sold at a higher price from the retailer OR by opportunistic middlemen who will buy in bulk, mark it up anyways, and most times not provide the same level of support that an authorized retailer would. I’d rather buy $20 toilet paper from Walmart than out of some guy’s garage.
So the fear is irrational even though the problem does occur? Did you think that through before you typed it?

You also forget retailers can put purchase restrictions on items. Guy in a garage can't survive that.
 
It’s funny how people think grocery stores would risk public outrage by hiking prices mid-heatwave when their whole business depends on trust and repeat customers. If I see my ice cream price go up because the sun came out, I’m shopping somewhere else.
 
Vending machines already have digital pricing. I saw the writing on the wall a decade ago when I wanted to open a Vending machine franchise. Retailers spends a significant amount on staffing just to replace labels. Most retailers have a store policy to honor a sale label price even after the sale ends; if the staff are too slow to replace the labels.
The main concern I forsee is with union run stores rejecting and crying the loudest, due to lower staffing needs from digital labels. These digital lablel have real time pricing adjustments. Unions heads will see this as a threat to their union dues/fees.
As far as perishable and short dated products should be heavily discounted and sales passed on to the consumer.
While some petty workload maybe lifted their will still be input on expiration, cycling freshness and fancy overhaul system that manages it all.
Imo digital labels can probably be better for the business and consumer with mitigation to waste as described in the article. Not so much for the workforce.
 
I can't wait for the moment I touch something 1 millisecond before it raises its price. In an ideal world where retailers were honest and nice....
 
I can't wait for the moment I touch something 1 millisecond before it raises its price. In an ideal world where retailers were honest and nice....
I've never seen digital labels work that way. It may be possible but I worked for a company that used digital labels before covid. Didnt see any real issues with pricing.
Deca has used them for a long time on military bases. I've never seen them raise prices instantly. Was mainly weekly if a price changed.
 
For a trust and churn minimisation business like a supermarket, they *really* don't want to be giving you reasons to get frustrated, raise the prices yes, but certainly not in a way you will immediately notice and go "screw this, I am shopping at xyz now", its why they put so much into loyalty point schemes and all, so its harder for you to go to another supermarket, its essential goods, not a luxury exclusive item, so if you can't buy it, you will just search for a lower priced alternative
 
Let’s be clear, the fear isn’t unfounded. Anyone alive for the past 30 years has seen the relentless drive of businesses to squeeze every penny out of consumers, with minimal regard for customer loyalty or product quality. This is simply the world we live in now. That’s why so many people are nervous that this technology will be used to exploit them, because it pretty much feels like that’s the only way companies use tech (data mining, tracking, etc.). Does this mean they will? No, of course not. But today’s consumer is rightly concerned about even more exploitation and the further enshitification of things.

It would be great if digital pricing solved the issue of seeing one price on the shelf and being charged something else at the register. I’ve dealt with this problem at grocery stores for as long as I can remember, at least 20 years. My wife scans the receipt every time we go to ensure we don’t get overcharged, and I’d say at least one item rings up with the wrong price every week. I’m all for technology fixing that.

Let’s just hope digital pricing is used for good, not abuse. In the short term, I think that will be the case, but it’s only a matter of time before some company takes advantage. If it increases profits and shareholders approve, it will become commonplace. And then, the enshitification continues.
 
Yet surge pricing is perfectly fine for ride sharing, airfare, festivals, company stocks, hair salons...

This is a non-issue that has long existed with dire consequences and making it a few seconds faster to change the price of an item that one could already surge price will make little difference.

In the real world these tags save labor cost of changing tags more than anything else.

 
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