Global PC market predicted to shrink by 3.4% this year (if nothing else goes wrong)

mongeese

TS Maniac
Staff member

If everything goes okay from here on in – which is not a guarantee, but is reasonably likely, according to analyst firm Canalys – then PC shipments will fall by 3.4% this year. If things continue on their path to hell and the coronavirus deals more damage, then global shipments will fall by 8.8%.

China would suffer the most in such a situation, as one would expect. In a worst-case scenario, Chinese sales will fall by 12.2%, or by 3.8% in a best-case scenario.

To put some numbers to it, the overall volume of PCs sold in 2019 was about 396 million according to Canalys. This year that could be between 362-382 million units.

The impact will be the most dramatic in Q1 and Q2, with shipments down by 10% and 9%, respectively. The numbers are still coming in for February, but manufacturing capacity could be between 30-35% of maximum in a best-case scenario and 20-25% in the worst case. Things are expected to stabilize in March if the coronavirus is dealt with, or in May if it hangs about.

As the year comes to a close, however, the market conditions will improve significantly as both demand and manufacturing capacity increase. Canalys predicts a bustling 17% year-on-year growth in Q4, followed by a gentle 0.3% growth throughout 2021.

Photo by Louis Reed on Unsplash

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grumblguts

TS Maniac
Understandable.
With Intel suffering Foreshadow....PortSmash...SPOILER...Meltdown...Spectre ...Fallout... RIDL.....ZombieLoad and many more no wonder people are quitting the pc.
Audio hassles microphones hassles chipset hassles hard drive hassles monitor hassles mice hassles keyboard hassles gaming cheat hassles.l
The console will allays have that advantage in being way more user friendly than the pc.
PC is such a hassle
 

p51d007

TS Evangelist
More of a reason, to DIVERSIFY production. Instead of always going the cheapest labor route, spread it out instead of placing everything in one country. Who knows how many bio-lab engineered virus things will get out.
 

Uncle Al

TS Evangelist
But lets remember, just because sales are down doesn't mean the companies are not making a profit. All business cycles have ups and downs so this really isn't out of line at all.
 

Jules Mark II

TS Member
I strongly encourage people to get 14 days of food and water rations at home. It is going to get worst before it gets any better.

Just look at S.Korea and Italy. They have no choice but to quarantine whole town/city now.
 
More of a reason, to DIVERSIFY production. Instead of always going the cheapest labor route, spread it out instead of placing everything in one country. Who knows how many bio-lab engineered virus things will get out.
The problem isn't production/supply. The problem is lack of demand because people aren't buying enough PCs. If you make PCs more expensive without innovating new features, PC demand will go down even more.

Also, a virus can't survive outside a living host for more than a few days, and some viruses can't even survive for more than a few hours. By the time any PC component from overseas gets shipped from the other side of the world to distributors (which takes weeks via cargo ship), any virus would be long dead/invalidated.

For example, the cold virus (which the new coronavirus is in the family of), usually can't survive on a surface longer than 24 hours. Flu viruses survive for mere minutes on porous surfaces.

"Flu viruses capable of being transferred to hands and causing an infection can survive on hard surfaces for 24 hours. Infectious flu viruses can survive on tissues for only 15 minutes."
 
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Jules Mark II

TS Member
From Forbes: Scientists Predict Coronavirus May Live For Up To Nine Days On Surfaces

A new analysis looking at data from different types of coronavirus has shown that many strains can live on surfaces such as glass, plastic or metal, for up to nine days.

The work published yesterday in The Journal of Hospital Infection looked at 22 historical studies on different types of coronavirus, such as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) coronaviruses. The authors were originally intending to publish the analysis in an upcoming textbook, but in light of the recent outbreak, the they decided to release the work early.

So if you got packages coming from China, Hong Kong, S.Korea, Japan. Make sure you disinfect it before opening that package.
 

Ravalo

TS Addict
Understandable.
With Intel suffering Foreshadow....PortSmash...SPOILER...Meltdown...Spectre ...Fallout... RIDL.....ZombieLoad and many more no wonder people are quitting the pc.
Audio hassles microphones hassles chipset hassles hard drive hassles monitor hassles mice hassles keyboard hassles gaming cheat hassles.l
The console will allays have that advantage in being way more user friendly than the pc.
PC is such a hassle
I actually found more cheaters in a mobile game (forward assault) than in any other pc game I’ve played (TF2, csgo, rss, krunker, etc.)

Console is good for casual gaming mostly since most people have one and voice chat is sometimes funnier than in pc
But for other stuff (video editing, using a blue yeti mic, recording gameplay, etc.) pc is way better
And intel is not the only cpu manufacturer xD