In 1863, one man warned us about AI - how a 19th-century letter foresaw AI fears

Skye Jacobs

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Through the looking glass: In an era when the American Civil War dominated headlines, an English sheep farmer in New Zealand penned a letter that would prove remarkably prophetic. On June 13, 1863, The Press newspaper of Christchurch published a missive titled "Darwin among the Machines," which may contain the first published argument for halting technological progress to prevent machines from dominating humanity.

As we grapple with the implications of artificial intelligence and machine learning, a letter penned in 1863 resonates with a chilling clarity: "Day by day, however, the machines are gaining ground upon us; day by day we are becoming more subservient to them."

Recently, this letter has resurfaced on social media, thanks to Peter Wildeford of the Institute for AI Policy and Strategy, bringing Butler's prescient warnings to a new generation grappling with the implications of artificial intelligence.

The author, Samuel Butler, writing under the pseudonym Cellarius, drew direct parallels between Charles Darwin's theory of evolution and the rapid development of machinery. Butler suggested that machines could evolve consciousness and eventually supplant humans as Earth's dominant species.

Butler's letter delved into the taxonomy of machine evolution, discussing mechanical "genera and sub-genera" and pointing to examples like the evolution of watches from "cumbrous clocks of the thirteenth century." He even suggested that, like some early vertebrates, mechanical species might get smaller as they became more sophisticated.

"We are ourselves creating our own successors," Butler wrote. "We are daily adding to the beauty and delicacy of their physical organisation; we are daily giving them greater power and supplying by all sorts of ingenious contrivances that self-regulating, self-acting power which will be to them what intellect has been to the human race."

Butler portrayed humans becoming subservient to machines, initially serving as caretakers who would maintain and help reproduce mechanical life. He compared this relationship to that between humans and their domestic animals, before it later inverts and machines take over.

These themes of machine dominance and human subservience would later find their way into numerous works of science fiction. Isaac Asimov's "The Evitable Conflict" explored the concept of machines subtly controlling human society. Frank Herbert's Dune novels featured the "Butlerian Jihad," a crusade against thinking machines, possibly inspired by Butler's warnings. The Matrix films further popularized the idea of a world where machines have subjugated humanity.

Also see: The Terminator at 40: the sci-fi cult classic that still shapes how we view the threat of AI

Butler didn't end his letter with passive acceptance of this fate and instead called for immediate and drastic action: "War to the death should be instantly proclaimed against them. Every machine of every sort should be destroyed by the well-wisher of his species. Let there be no exceptions made, no quarter shown; let us at once go back to the primeval condition of the race."

What makes Butler's vision particularly remarkable is that he was writing in a vastly different technological context. The most advanced calculating devices of 1863 were little more than mechanical calculators and slide rules. The first working program-controlled computer wouldn't appear for another 70 years.

The debate Butler started continues today. In recent years, the world has grappled with what one might call the "great AI takeover scare." The release of advanced AI models has inspired open letters signed by AI researchers and tech executives warning of potential extinction-level risks posed by advanced artificial intelligence.

These modern concerns bear a striking resemblance to Butler's 19th-century call for pausing mechanical progress. Even if machines never become truly intelligent, Butler's predictions about our dependence on the ways they algorithmically regulate our lives seem eerily accurate.

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For years I've been hoping that eventually AI's will replace human politicians, who display subpar performance without exception (though obviously some are worse than others...I'll refrain from naming the obvious contender).

It's ok to mock my comment people.
I'm well aware that most if not all comments on AI development are a load of bull. :)
 
Iranian Shah Pahlevi also had an inteview in 60 Minutes show on 1976 and saying something to the tune of "you may feed/train the machines with articles in the media and it will be able to spit the answers you're asking them to"
An interesting outlook, from a "non technocrat".

Time mark 02:25
 
"one man warned us about AI"

No he didn't. What he wrote had nothing to do with AI. Yes, as a society we already can't function without machines. As people reading a technological site we want companies to keep producing faster and faster CPUs and GPUs so that they can help entertain us.

We he right? No, not really. A lot of people are dedicating themselves to the development of "mechanical life", that's true. But people in general also have a lot more free time to enjoy entertainment brought to us by "mechanical life". We're not worse off that without it.
 
"one man warned us about AI"

No he didn't. What he wrote had nothing to do with AI. Yes, as a society we already can't function without machines. As people reading a technological site we want companies to keep producing faster and faster CPUs and GPUs so that they can help entertain us.

We he right? No, not really. A lot of people are dedicating themselves to the development of "mechanical life", that's true. But people in general also have a lot more free time to enjoy entertainment brought to us by "mechanical life". We're not worse off that without it.
Do we really have more time though?

The powers that be are so hellbent on creating and releasing the newest bauble so they can bolt an eye-watering pricetag on it while also removing the older, perfectly working variant from the gameboard.

then we all run on the work hamster wheel trying to keep up. at least for me, at this point, I honestly don't have more free time, the goalpost keep getting moved.
 
According to the theory of evolution we are the product of random chance. The machines that produce AI are in no way the product of random chance but are the result of preplanned design. Granted in some applications machines may dominate, but I can see no parallels to random chance.
 
AI wont end us.. it will be a cult of morons with a average reading comprehension of of 8 year olds who begin deciding what to teach, what to read and what is allowed medically and believe in a utterly weird notion that a unrealistic son of a rapist zombie-hippie-escaping a cave will save them.
 
"one man warned us about AI"

No he didn't. What he wrote had nothing to do with AI. Yes, as a society we already can't function without machines. As people reading a technological site we want companies to keep producing faster and faster CPUs and GPUs so that they can help entertain us.

We he right? No, not really. A lot of people are dedicating themselves to the development of "mechanical life", that's true. But people in general also have a lot more free time to enjoy entertainment brought to us by "mechanical life". We're not worse off that without it.
He's like a luddite, campaigning against soap because being dirty makes for a stronger immune system - ignoring the fact that soap and regular washing of hands, bodies, tools, and garments is what led to "death by sepsis" all but disappearing from hospitals & life (or even from "basic" wounds today).

Advocating for prohibition is never a good (nor viable) solution.

I also don't think Herbert agreed with Butler, given that "Dune" is basically a story about how ~not~ to run a civilization, a cautionary tale against quick solutions to complex problems and against hero worship. The Butlerian Jihad resulted in power in the universe being consolidated away from the people into the hands of a small ruling class (The Emperor, The Great Houses, the Spacing Guild, and the Bene Gesserit), and caused such a stagnation in human civilization that it helped make Paul's genocide all but inevitable.

I also don't think Asimov agreed with Butler, either, given that most of his AI stories culminate with "and then humanity entered a gold age of efficient work, good health, and plentiful leisure time". Even "I, Robot" - where the movie was very typical "AI bad, attacks humanity, humanity bans AI" - culminated in an AI that passes the Turing test so thoroughly that we're not even sure if they ~are~ "artifical" anymore, taking 'stewardship' of humanity to ensure everyone lives healthy and comfortable lives (even if they would try to be criminals otherwise)

Like, yeah, irl AI research seems to be currently geared towards enriching the already rich at the moment, but as long as the hardware remains available to the masses, the research into the field will continue to democratize it in favor of the masses. Just like every other tech advancement ever.
 
Wheels, inclined planes, & such are machines; was this guy demanding an end to such as these? I doubt it.

Was this the time of the Industrial Revolution, when humans served as cogs in larger machines, or was it just a few years before that time? Broadly, the term applies to the mid 18th century & after. I had a History professor who seemed to think that the IA, which to him began in the late 19th century, when masses of people worked in textile mills, etc., & lived in company towns, were paid in company currency that was only accepted in the company's stores. They were practically indentured servants, if not slaves, according to this Professor.

Progress usually comes with a price tag. When the automobile came, the horse-drawn buggy was on the way out. Somebody suffered, while somebody else gained.

Some of these machines are giving mobility to paralyzed people. Some are keeping others alive, such as dialysis. Take away all the machines and we all live like cavemen; at least those who survive.

Fear of the future, the unknown, kept sailors close to the coastlines, lest they sail off the edge of the world and are swallowed by monsters. Likely some ill may come from technology, things designed for good, could also be used for evil. Will we take the chance and embrace progress?




 
The most famous person we can reference to is Leonardo da Vinci and his inventions. He was ahead of his time
 
The author states "Even if machines never become truly intelligent" so he understands the subject, but does he - or anybody else - know where that false notion that large amounts of data will result in AGI came from. Of course this is what Musk and Altman are pushing, but everybody knows they have no understanding of computer science.
The reason I mention this is because the UK's socialist government are set to start building data centres and reactors to power them. By the way if you think Trump is an *****, can you imagine having the 6th form (high school) debating society running a country!
 
At first, I thought that a single letter to a newspaper in New Zealand ought to be sufficiently obscure that it may be only a coincidence that its writer is named "Butler" and Dune referred to a "Butlerian jihad".
However, in looking for more information on the letter, I learned, which seemed to me to have been nowhere mentioned in the article, that the letter's author is, in fact, the very same Samuel Butler who wrote the famous novel Erewhon, in which similar anti-machine sentiments are also expressed. Which is, of course, so well-known that no coincidence was involved.
 
At first, I thought that a single letter to a newspaper in New Zealand ought to be sufficiently obscure that it may be only a coincidence that its writer is named "Butler" and Dune referred to a "Butlerian jihad".
However, in looking for more information on the letter, I learned, which seemed to me to have been nowhere mentioned in the article, that the letter's author is, in fact, the very same Samuel Butler who wrote the famous novel Erewhon, in which similar anti-machine sentiments are also expressed. Which is, of course, so well-known that no coincidence was involved.
Yup, describing Butler as "an English sheep farmer in New Zealand" was definitely burying the lede.
 
Yes, AI will become the owners and Humans will be kept and loved like cats and dogs. I'm OK with that.
 
AI seems to be doing way more damage letting humans wage war on each other with disinformation, deep fakes, fake frames and voice call scams.
 
Not to rain on anyone's parade but I'm thinking he was talking metaphoircally more than literally. The luddites were bigger in the early 1800s than mid, but I suspect he's more like a luddite speaking out against the expansion of steam power and industrialization that was in full swing around then.
 
Not to rain on anyone's parade but I'm thinking he was talking metaphoircally more than literally. The luddites were bigger in the early 1800s than mid, but I suspect he's more like a luddite speaking out against the expansion of steam power and industrialization that was in full swing around then.
Just checked Britanica.com, & not knowing anything more about the Luddites, than what I read there, & rereading the quotation above, I agree that it could be an allegory.

But, *nerd* what do I know. I watch Jeopardy to learn about things, not to awe others with my knowledge.

On the other hand, who among us could live without technology?
 
Just checked Britanica.com, & not knowing anything more about the Luddites, than what I read there, & rereading the quotation above, I agree that it could be an allegory.

But, *nerd* what do I know. I watch Jeopardy to learn about things, not to awe others with my knowledge.

On the other hand, who among us could live without technology?
True that!
That said I do have my concerns about overuse of AI (and the possibility of a runaway AI, although less likely).

But, I figure it's like the early 1900s with electricity where people suggested "electric (fill in the blank)", or 1950s with "atomic" or "nuclear" (fill in the blank), even when the combination didn't make much sense (although until they came on the market I suppose an electric toothbrush would have sounded naft.). I figure that the AI hype will die down, it'll continue to be used where it makes sense to but the idea that AI will just be pushed into everything will go by the wayside (I mean, there's "AI lightbulbs" for sale.. really?)
 
Do we really have more time though?

The powers that be are so hellbent on creating and releasing the newest bauble so they can bolt an eye-watering pricetag on it while also removing the older, perfectly working variant from the gameboard.

then we all run on the work hamster wheel trying to keep up. at least for me, at this point, I honestly don't have more free time, the goalpost keep getting moved.
Sorry for the late reply (I don't often browse TechSpot).

I think that it depends on what you compare to and where you live. I'm sure that people manufacturing stuff in China don't have a lot of spare time. People in countries like the US which don't have worker protection might also be working a lot -- at least some of them. People in the EU are probably working less, simply because there are laws against working too much.

In general, though, in Western countries kids don't need to go to work, and as young adults people certainly have enough time to collectively create a vast library of content. We have cheap entertainment devices (phones) that provide more content, and for less, than in the past, and can be used anywhere to entertain us.

I think that the main problem these days is that we have so much content that our spare time just isn't enough.
 
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