In Hindsight... Infamous Tech Predictions and Quotes

Chazz

Posts: 679   +76
I read this a while back.. the words are sure right.. but I don't remember where I read it. it was a [FONT=arial]faux pas [/FONT]made by Bill gates in (again not sure) 1983 or 84. when he said "64KB ought to enough for everyone" or something like that.. again correct me if I am wrong...!!!

From what I understand, this is false. Someone made it up.
 
From what I understand, this is false. Someone made it up.
The quote was something like, "No one will ever need more than 640k of memory", and has always been attributed to Gates. Those who say otherwise point to the lack of 'proof', as though there had to be a recording device of some kind, especially for someone as profound whenever he opens his mouth, and the acceptance of his own denial that he said it. The fact is that Gates was working with IBM about as closely as any software guy can work with a hardware manufacturer that had no idea what Bill's plans were for the os. Is it more likely that he gave them the go-ahead with the follow-up quote, or that IBM took the reigns of the hardware design away from the os designer and set that limit themselves? Gates' oses have always been a factor in the hardware design of the pc, and that's unfortunate. Whether Gates' denial or the memory limitation set by IBM were pulled out of either of their asses is still debatable.
 
G

Guest

It's interesting how in retrospect snide quips, sarcasm and basic stupidity are claimed to be 'incite'.
 
G

Guest

It does not surprise me that Dvorak is on this list so many times.
Another couple of quotes for you:
"I don't think the office will go paperless in about oh 10 years". Billg 1991.
"Who on Earth would need a PC with more than 128mB of memory?" Billg circa 1989.
 
G

Guest

Most rich folks think that they somehow 'made that' when it comes to their wealth, but really, it's despite their lack of intellect and creativity and just because of dumb luck that most of them are wealthy.
-- Me
 
I read this a while back.. the words are sure right.. but I don't remember where I read it. it was a [FONT=arial]faux pas [/FONT]made by Bill gates in (again not sure) 1983 or 84. when he said "64KB ought to enough for everyone" or something like that.. again correct me if I am wrong...!!!
Bill Gates has denied many times the truth of this comment "64 KB should be good enough for anyone". I have heard this Quoted many times and I knew that it would surface here.
 

ET3D

Posts: 1,762   +407
Most rich folks think that they somehow 'made that' when it comes to their wealth, but really, it's despite their lack of intellect and creativity and just because of dumb luck that most of them are wealthy.
-- Me

Most of those who made their own money did so because they have good business sense. Sure, luck has something to do with it, but Bill Gates certainly got where he got because he knew what deals to make, what stuff to sell and how, how to crush his opponents with illegal tactics, that kind of stuff. A corporate manager doesn't need to know technical stuff deeply or even create the best products. He just needs to know how to run a company successfully and sell what it makes.
 

agb81

Posts: 79   +39
“We know where you are. We know where you've been. We can more or less know what you're thinking about.”
– Eric Schmidt, Google CEO

Anyone else freaked out about how accurate this quote is?
 

Camikazi

Posts: 982   +339
It does not surprise me that Dvorak is on this list so many times.
Another couple of quotes for you:
"I don't think the office will go paperless in about oh 10 years". Billg 1991.
"Who on Earth would need a PC with more than 128mB of memory?" Billg circa 1989.
The second one is wrong, it was 640k, and it was also not Bill Gates so I am doubting your first quote is right as well.
 

Puiu

Posts: 4,965   +3,838
TechSpot Elite
The Linux/OS Wars one was the funniest. Mostly funny because it'll never be true and a little more funny because some Linux fanatics actually think it will happen.

Not a Linux hater, but come on you got to be realistic.
I think you are forgetting the fact that it's not windows that has the highest total device market share anymore. It's android which is a linux based OS. (it was at around 50% last year and growing fast). MS is feeling the heat and they are working hard to make windows more mobile friendly.
And for servers linux is still king.

If you can't beat them at their own game then try another game and destroy them there.
 

mrtraver

Posts: 496   +256
I read this a while back.. the words are sure right.. but I don't remember where I read it. it was a [FONT=arial]faux pas [/FONT]made by Bill gates in (again not sure) 1983 or 84. when he said "64KB ought to enough for everyone" or something like that.. again correct me if I am wrong...!!!

Supposedly he said ""640K ought to be enough for anybody" in 1981, but he denies ever saying that. Here is an article I read several years ago:

http://www.computerworld.com/articl...-go-away----but-did-gates-really-say-it-.html

EDIT: Oops, I was still on page 1 of comments and didn't realize that several others had already replied to this!
 

FF222

Posts: 276   +229
I read this a while back.. the words are sure right.. but I don't remember where I read it. it was a [FONT=arial]faux pas [/FONT]made by Bill gates in (again not sure) 1983 or 84. when he said "64KB ought to enough for everyone" or something like that.. again correct me if I am wrong...!!!
You are.
https://www.wired.com/1997/01/did-gates-really-say-640k-is-enough-for-anyone/
http://www.computerworld.com/articl...-go-away----but-did-gates-really-say-it-.html
https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Bill_Gates#Misattributed
 

Badvok

Posts: 325   +163
Wondering why THIS comment is in the list:

“I don't know if anyone has tried to run Windows on a 286 machine, but frankly I'd rather have knitting needles in my eyes” - 1991

In '91, most people were using the 386, and Windows 3.1 was *already* slow & crash prone. The 286 was slower, didn't have an FPU, and the memory-protection sucked. The quote was very true even back in '91.
Windows 3.1 may have been slow in '91 because it would have had to work through a time tunnel, it wasn't released until the next year. Windows 3.0 actually worked OK on the first IBM PC clone I bought for myself, a Dell 210 which originally came with Windows 2.0.
 

Uncle Al

Posts: 8,249   +7,024
Personally, the greatest quote I ever heard came from my own sweet daddy who, after seeing me build my first computer from the PCB up stated "it's only a passing fad son, you need to develop a real marketable skill, like plumbing". Before his death at age 84 I had taught him how to log onto the internet and research stocks in the market, which he loved and often told me "If I could have done this at your age, I would have become a billionaire".

When he died in the hospital, he had his laptop on his lap, in his hospital bed and had just mumbled an hour earlier "if I only had 10 more years" ..... It is truly amazing how much a computer can change our lives, no matter how young or old. ........
 

Igrecman

Posts: 300   +180
My own prediction
"The era of the satellites will be over by 2025. Space debris will go out of control after a few of them collided, triggering a chain reaction with billions of new debris that will destroy all of them, exponentially creating even more debris as they keep colliding with each other, fragmenting in smaller peaces over time. Putting any new satellites in orbit and going to Mars will be impossible. Cleaning up the space debris, if possible at all, will be the number one priority for the rest of the century, and the most costly and most difficult challenge mankind will ever face."
 
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R

Raoul Duke

My own prediction
"The era of the satellites will be over by 2025. Space debris will go out of control after a few of them collided, triggering a chain reaction with billions of new debris that will destroy all of them, exponentially creating even more debris as them keep colliding with each other, fragmenting in smaller peaces over time. Putting any new satellites in orbit and going to Mars will be impossible. Cleaning up the space debris, if possible at all, will be the number one priority for the rest of the century, and the most costly and most difficult challenge mankind will ever face."
I can't comment on the date, but the scenario you have described very well could be in our near future. For an example look up what happened when China exploded one of their satellites testing an anti-satellite weapon. Chain reaction disaster by ever increasing bits of debris is currently very much of concern and would have a devastating effect on the world as most of us (exclude third world possibly) know it
 

Kenrick

Posts: 631   +401
Hide your kids, hide your wife
Hide your kids, hide your wife
Hide your kids, hide your wife

-Antoine

Great read Graham!
 

ChuckyJ

Posts: 11   +1
The Linux/OS Wars one was the funniest. Mostly funny because it'll never be true and a little more funny because some Linux fanatics actually think it will happen.

Not a Linux hater, but come on you got to be realistic.

I disagree, give it time. Linux will eventually catch up with applications of their own and then what will Microsoft do?
 

Wizwill

Posts: 129   +58
Can't remember who wrote it but there was once a sifi story about an impenetrable debris 'halo' from space junk keeping mankind from going into space. They solved it partially, letting the 'last' ship out with an atmosphere destroying atomic blast, if I remember correctly.
Today, we might try letting the hot air blast from a presidential campaign clear the air! Some of the rhetoric is incendiary enough o do the job.
 

Igrecman

Posts: 300   +180
Imagine what a third world war would do to our satellites. Apart from nuclear strikes, the first thing that would get destroyed are the enemy's satellites because his army relies on it, and vice versa. Then the debris 'halo' will be unmanageable, making any attempt at reaching orbit impossible.
 
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batsdude

Posts: 52   +20
The Linux/OS Wars one was the funniest. Mostly funny because it'll never be true and a little more funny because some Linux fanatics actually think it will happen.

Not a Linux hater, but come on you got to be realistic.
Actually, a good 60% of my repair customers have gone to Linux Mint to avoid having to reinstall Win 7, and it incredibly heavy (Re)update download, while trying to get completely rid of the horrendous Win 10 that nearly all of my customers just plain despise. IF Linux could make WINE work properly without having a C+++ degree, Win and Apple would have a real issue.
 
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