Moore's Law has ten years to run, predicts physicist

[Archean]

Moore's Law has ten years to run, predicts physicist

Renowned theoretical physicist Michio Kaku has predicted Moore's Law will run out of steam within the next ten years as silicon designs run up against the laws of physics. "In about ten years or so we will see the collapse of Moore's Law," he says. "In fact we already see a slowing down of Moore's Law. Computing power cannot maintain its rapid exponential rise using standard silicon technology."

 

[slh28]

In 10 years there will be quantum computers right?

 

[Archean]

I would rather believe Michio, when he says that quantum computers won't be feasible about end of 21st of century.

 

[bobcat]

If the automobile had followed the same development cycle as the computer, a Rolls-Royce would today cost $100, get a million miles per gallon, and explode once a year, killing everyone inside. (Robert X Cringely)

 

[slh28]

If the automobile had followed the same development cycle as the computer, a Rolls-Royce would today cost $100, get a million miles per gallon, and explode once a year, killing everyone inside. (Robert X Cringely)

Think about it though, a modern cheap car has more luxuries/safety features than a Rolls from 30 years ago, and gets way more mpg. Cars probably also follow Moore's law, just on a longer cycle than 18m/12m.

 

[alen9331]

The destiny of the truth wouldn't invariable , the Moore's law is going on with a unstable cycle now . nowdays, we couldn't kown what would appear in the next year. Changes happen in everywhere and everytime , we even don't kown what is the next iphone.