Samsung will cut DDR4 memory production to endure harsh market conditions

Alfonso Maruccia

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In context: While Nvidia decided to adopt an insane price policy for its latest generation of gaming GPUs, market conditions for other hardware components have never been better for consumers. Memory chips for SSD drives and DRAM memory modules are very affordable right now, and manufacturers are struggling to adapt their businesses to this new trend.

Being one of the largest DRAM chip manufacturers in the world, Samsung is experiencing a rather critical moment in its recent history. The company's revenues suffered a -18% year-over-year drop in the first quarter of 2023, while profits have essentially evaporated with the worst result recorded for the past 14 years (-95%).

Global DRAM and SSD prices are expected to become even cheaper in the coming months, which will clearly affect any rebound effort put in place by manufacturers. Samsung recently said that it was preparing to cut back on chip production, and now we know the cut will likely be a significant one.

The Korean giant is seemingly expected to decrease its chip manufacturing output for DDR4 memory modules, a move that will last for 3 to 6 months (two quarters) at least. Samsung's total wafer input will be reduced by 5-7%, which will likely have further negative consequences on an already struggling market.

Samsung is the world's largest memory chip manufacturer, with an estimated market share of 45%. The Seoul-based technology conglomerate is expected to make 25% fewer DRAM chips this year, and the overall memory market will likely be significantly impacted by the company's latest decision.

Samsung isn't new to this kind of production-cutting choice, as the corporation cut down production of DDR3 memory modules in August 2022. At that time, Samsung was trying to promote a wider (and faster) adoption of the newest DDR5 memory modules while still supporting the DDR4 market, forcing router manufacturers and the other companies still using the slower (and cheaper) DDR3 modules to upgrade their memory needs.

Besides cutting production and making DDR3 modules cheaper, in 2022 Samsung also offered discounts on DDR4 and DDR5 chip prices. And the adoption rate of the newer memory standards grew accordingly. Now, consumers have taken a more conservative approach to hi-tech spending, and Samsung is seemingly willing to make its chip-making machines rest while waiting for a market rebound.

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Cutting production and encouraging higher prices will only encourage people who are sick of high prices not to buy, IMO.
 
Same thing will happen to Samsung as did Intel, but this time there isn't only one other competitor in the industry that will shoot itself in the foot. You can't cut production and raise prices unless you're OPEC, and even they can't really do it too much.
 
Hadn't realised that prices are way lower than this time last year. 2x 8GB of CL18 Corsair Ram at 3,600MHz was £70 in April 2022. Those same sticks from the same retailer are £39.

Obviously DDR5 is still more expensive but not massively so. 32GB of Corsair Vengeance Ram @6,000MHz is £110. Even 64GB modules aren't crazy money. I'm not too surprised as this happened with the transition of DDR2 >DDR3 and again with DDR3>DDR4, within 18 months of launch the markup was at most 50% for the newer generation - and that seems to be the case today, 64GB DDR4 @3600 is around £138, it's £200 for DDR5 @6,000. In percentage terms it's significant but not so much in actual cash amounts - and 64GB is still not really necessary for the majority of people.

Really seems like a great time to stock up on memory, especially since 32GB is becoming a requirement for some games at max settings.
 
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