That’s not quite how it went down. At the 2008 Bucharest Summit (April), NATO didn't tell Ukraine and Georgia they had 'no path to membership.' The official declaration was that Ukraine and Georgia 'will become members of NATO.' This was a clear statement, and Russia immediately warned it was a 'huge strategic mistake' that would have 'most serious consequences.'
Even before that summit, in February 2008, US Ambassador to Russia William Burns sent a confidential cable to Condoleezza Rice titled 'Nyet means Nyet: Russia’s NATO Enlargement Redlines.' He emphasized that 'Ukraine and Georgia's NATO aspirations not only touch a raw nerve in Russia, they engender serious concerns about the consequences for stability in the region.'
So, when Russia moved into Georgia a few months after NATO's Bucharest declaration, it wasn't unprovoked. It was a direct reaction to NATO explicitly promising membership and thus crossing Russia's clearly communicated red lines.
NATO was indeed provoking, and the outcome was, as many observed, predictable for the Georgia conflict in 2008.
My mistake. You’re talking about the US’s position and I was talking about France and Germany’s (and not only). This is how it went down (article in Euractiv.)
“EU divisions were apparent on the eve of the NATO summit in Bucharest on 2-4 April with several heavyweights, including France, opposed to the planned Eastern expansion of the military alliance. EURACTIV Romania contributed to this report from Bucharest.
US president George W. Bush, visiting Kiev just before the summit, stated that he would act in favour of the inclusion of Ukraine and Georgia in the Membership Action Plan (MAP), thus opening the door to NATO membership without guaranteeing it.
Several EU heavyweights (Germany, France, Spain, Italy, the Netherlands and Belgium) are opposed to such a project.
In the meantime, several representatives of the new EU members expressed their support for opening the NATO door to Kiev and Tbilisi.
President Bush said today (2 April) during his Bucharest speech that Romanian people have "looked evil in the eye" and transformed their country from a communist dictatorship into a free nation and a NATO member, suggesting that the young democracies Ukraine and Georgia deserve the same chance.
"My country's position is clear: NATO should welcome Georgia and Ukraine into the Membership Action Plan. And, NATO membership must remain open to all of Europe's democracies that seek it, and are ready to share in the responsibilities of NATO membership," he said.
French Prime Minister Francois Fillon said that President Nicolas Sarkozy would oppose the idea at the Summit in Bucharest. "France is not green-lighting Ukraine and Georgia's accession. Paris has a different opinion to that of the US on the matter", Fillon told France Inter Radio, quoted by Rompres.
Russia voiced its opinion on Tuesday, with deputy foreign minister Grigory Karasin warning that the prospect of Ukraine's NATO membership would create a profound crisis between Kiev and Moscow, with a negative impact on the security of Europe.
But Russia's Special Representative to NATO Dmitry Rogozin dismissed US ambitions to include Ukraine and Georgia in the MAP as unrealistic.
Speaking to Dziennik, Mr. Rogozin said: "As far as I know NATO, and the people who work there - I don't think they will take such a decision. The US is very much in favour, but Bush is leaving soon and he will not take responsibility for the consequences of such an action. Those who will remain will be confronted with the issue. Therefore I don't think there will be any MAP".”
Russia turned around and attacked Georgia knowing full well that no country with an active conflict / dispute will be granted access. They did the same with Ukraine.
All in all Russia shouldn’t dictate what an independent country does. Ukraine and Georgia and all the rest of the USSR republics are not vassal states.