At Nvidia, compute already costs more than employees. The rest of corporate America is catching up

Skye Jacobs

Posts: 2,013   +59
Staff
Bottom line: Escalating demand for artificial intelligence is beginning to reshape how companies allocate their technology budgets, with compute costs in some cases outpacing traditional labor expenses. Executives and engineers working closely with large-scale AI systems say the balance between human and machine costs is shifting in ways that would have seemed unlikely just a few years ago.

At Nvidia, that shift is already visible. "For my team, the cost of compute is far beyond the costs of the employees," Bryan Catanzaro, vice president of applied deep learning at Nvidia, told Axios.

A similar pattern is emerging outside core AI vendors. At Uber, spending on AI coding tools has ramped up so fast that it has exhausted the company's planned 2026 AI budget. According to The Information, Uber's CTO has already used up the ride-hailing firm's 2026 AI budget, largely because of token costs from heavy model use.

Token-based pricing for many large models has turned inference usage into a metered, recurring operating cost. Because these token charges rise with every request, costs can spike as more teams use the tools, and they are harder to forecast than standard software licenses.

At least some leaders see that trade-off as acceptable, positioning AI spending as a way to grow output without adding headcount. Amos Bar-Joseph, CEO of Swan AI, made that point in a widely circulated LinkedIn post, writing, "We're building the first autonomous business - scaling with intelligence, not headcount."

Spending forecasts for the wider IT market show the same trend. Gartner links the increase to strong demand for AI infrastructure, software, and cloud services, covering both new deployments and recurring usage costs.

Even so, the speed of that spending growth is drawing more scrutiny. Large enterprises, particularly those accountable to shareholders, face increasing pressure to demonstrate that AI investments translate into measurable gains. Companies are being pushed to show productivity gains and other hard metrics that tie AI spending to business results.

"The tone is shifting a bit more into what is the true value of a worker... human or digital?" said Brad Owens, vice president of digital labor strategy at Asymbl, a company focused on workforce orchestration.

That question is becoming more urgent as AI costs shift and scale. Changes in pricing by major model providers are already influencing how companies evaluate different platforms. Anthropic, for example, has adjusted its pricing in response to rising demand. Competition between AI labs is now as much about cost efficiency as raw capability, with investors watching how much work each model can deliver per dollar spent.

One OpenAI investor told Axios this shift could favor the company, arguing that Codex uses tokens more efficiently than rivals like Claude Code and can cut usage costs.

Those choices feed back into how enterprises structure their overall technology budgets. If compute costs keep climbing with usage, AI spending could increasingly resemble a core operating expense, subject to the same kind of cost controls as payroll.

In that context, pricing decisions by major AI providers can ripple quickly through corporate budgets. If prices keep climbing, heavy AI spending could shift from a bragging point to a balance-sheet headache, especially for companies that scaled usage fast without strong limits.

Permalink to story:

 
They want free labour, but the universe says that work costs energy. Once all this sorts itself out and disillusionment follows, it will boil down to whether the human or computer provides more work per watt/currency.
 
Nvidia has a near monopoly on graphics cards, its users always find excuses to keep buying, so not likely to happen.
Their users will pay more with no questions, despite driver quality already suffering to AI slop vibe coding.
 
Last edited:
Executives often operate with minimal cost accountability in relation to AI. I can not imagine how high the budget must be in order a company re-thinking their strategy. Consequently, increased spending can paradoxically enhance an executive's perceived importance, potentially justifying higher compensation. We are not yet at dogfooding. We need to wait a bit more.
 
Last edited:
I'm not saying nothing will come out all these AI investments. But by the time this stabilizes, 80% of the money spent on hardware and computations will not have benefited the companies that invested in it.
 
Token pricing feels a lot like the early cloud era where teams spun things up, nobody watched usage closely, and the CFO discovered the problem later. AI may be repeating the same FinOps lesson, just faster and at a bigger scale.

The funny outcome would be companies replacing employees with “digital labor,” then hiring a new layer of humans just to control runaway model costs. Congrats, you automated yourself into a new bureaucracy.
 
Once the end user figures out they have the power to stop paying, the fun begins.
Sure, you certainly have the power to stop buying food, medical care, clothing, housing, electricity, water, Internet service, and many other things -- all of which are now being provided in part through AI assistance.
 
Are we seeing that productivity is now at an all time high? It doesn't seem like it from an outside perspective.
A fair and relevant question. However, the productivity gains from the 1980s PC revolution took about a decade to appear on paper. I imagine AI will be much the same.
 
Are we seeing that productivity is now at an all time high? It doesn't seem like it from an outside perspective.
Depends on the sector. AI is dragging the vast majority of sectors down whilst massively boosting a small percentage. Some sectors (science, engineering, medicine) have not even begun to realise the full potential.
 
And the cost will move to the end users, yay! ...

Just invest in tech then money won't be a problem. Every single dime I spend these days, is free money coming from crypto/tech/ai boom. Stopped working last year due to making much more money this way and my job was paying fairly well to begin with. Don't need those money coming in anymore.

If you think AI is a bubble, then you are in for a shock. AI did not even peak yet. Far from it.

AI right now, is like computers in the 1980s, did they go away?

Chip production is going to explode in the coming years. Demand is vastly higher than supply right now. Companies wait for months and months to recieve orders. We lack production capability bigtime. We also lack energy to run the huge datacenters, companies are building left and right.

AI is in early days still. There is no bubble, demand will go up and down but will never stop from here. AI will only take off going forward. Once you see agentic AI in action, you will understand. You will see entire companies run by AI in a few decades.

AI will be the driving factor behind human tech advancement. AI will have solutions to problems we did not even know existed and cure disease we tried to cure for 100s of years. Sounds like sci-fi? True but that is the future with agentic AI.

And this is why most companies are splashing on AI. They don't want to miss the train. Companies that don't, will likely vanish over time, depending on area.
 
Last edited:
If you think AI is a bubble, then you are in for a shock. AI did not even peak yet. Far from it.
.com was a bubble, and it was far from peaking as well. I'm not saying AI as a technology is bad. But financing it and bending a law around it will create issues similarly as .com did, even, if we still benefiting from that tech.
 
Nvidia has a near monopoly on graphics cards, its users always find excuses to keep buying, so not likely to happen.
Their users will pay more with no questions, despite driver quality already suffering to AI slop vibe coding.

Auntie/Nephew have a duopoly.
 
.com was a bubble,
And yet, even at the very height of the dot com bubble collapse, Internet penetration and spending on Internet-related companies, goods, and services continued to increase. Today, all those metrics are astronomically higher than they were before the "bubble". The AI "bubble" will be the same ... a few companies will go under, but the AI industry as a whole will continue to thrive.
 
.com was a bubble, and it was far from peaking as well. I'm not saying AI as a technology is bad. But financing it and bending a law around it will create issues similarly as .com did, even, if we still benefiting from that tech.
Bubble bursted due to companies spending tons of money while not profitting enough. Early tech days can't be compared to AI boom. Tech companies are profitting like crazy, open their financial reports, no comparison with .com bubble. We learned from that. Companies knows what to look out for.

People are not stupid (or AI can help) - AI makes companies more money. They replace people that maybe have a few hours effective work daily or hell even weekly (tons of people do nothing at work), with AI that work till that work is done, with little or no errors.

AI don't ask for a raise. Don't call in sick. Don't cause trouble. Won't need a break. Don't crave food. Will work 24/7/365 effectively replacing many many workers, depending on tasks. That is millions of dollars saved in salary yearly. You don't think companies did calculations?

AI makes companies money. That is why many go all in and AI will only get better, faster, smarter from here. This is early days for AI still. Just wait 5-10 years, most companies will rely on AI just as much as companies today rely on computers, internet etc.

You can be in denial and miss out on massive earnings. Feel free to miss out.

Tech flourished even when the world is on fire. When the wars are over, you will see another massive boom. Get on or miss out.
 
Last edited:
Bubble bursted due to companies spending tons of money while not profitting enough. Early tech days can't be compared to AI boom. Tech companies are profitting like crazy, open their financial reports, no comparison with .com bubble. We learned from that. Companies knows what to look out for.

People are not stupid (or AI can help) - AI makes companies more money. They replace people that maybe have a few hours effective work daily or hell even weekly (tons of people do nothing at work), with AI that work till that work is done, with little or no errors.

AI don't ask for a raise. Don't call in sick. Don't cause trouble. Won't need a break. Don't crave food. Will work 24/7/365 effectively replacing many many workers, depending on tasks. That is millions of dollars saved in salary yearly. You don't think companies did calculations?

AI makes companies money. That is why many go all in and AI will only get better, faster, smarter from here. This is early days for AI still. Just wait 5-10 years, most companies will rely on AI just as much as companies today rely on computers, internet etc.

You can be in denial and miss out on massive earnings. Feel free to miss out.

Tech flourished even when the world is on fire. When the wars are over, you will see another massive boom. Get on or miss out.
Bro made money in a bull run and now thinks he discovered economics.

Making money in crypto and tech during a boom doesn’t prove there’s no bubble, it’s exactly what people in bubbles say.

.com investors, housing flippers, and crypto bros all said the same thing before reality hit.

Nobody serious is saying AI goes away. Computers didn’t go away either....but that didn’t stop massive crashes, overvaluation, and bankruptcies along the way.

You’re mixing up AI being important long term with current valuations and spending being automatically rational. Those are not the same thing.

The internet changed humanity. That didn’t stop the .com crash.
Railroads changed commerce. That didn’t stop railroad bubbles.
Crypto created real infrastructure. That didn’t stop massive collapses.

AI will reshape the economy...but revolutions still have hype cycles, bad bets, and people confusing a rising market with genius.

AI is the future isn’t the argument.
Every AI related investment today is smart is where people get wrecked.
 
Bro made money in a bull run and now thinks he discovered economics.

Making money in crypto and tech during a boom doesn’t prove there’s no bubble, it’s exactly what people in bubbles say.

.com investors, housing flippers, and crypto bros all said the same thing before reality hit.

Nobody serious is saying AI goes away. Computers didn’t go away either....but that didn’t stop massive crashes, overvaluation, and bankruptcies along the way.

You’re mixing up AI being important long term with current valuations and spending being automatically rational. Those are not the same thing.

The internet changed humanity. That didn’t stop the .com crash.
Railroads changed commerce. That didn’t stop railroad bubbles.
Crypto created real infrastructure. That didn’t stop massive collapses.

AI will reshape the economy...but revolutions still have hype cycles, bad bets, and people confusing a rising market with genius.

AI is the future isn’t the argument.
Every AI related investment today is smart is where people get wrecked.
The funny thing here is, you think I just made pocket change.

Investing in crypto and tech starting 10 years ago, allowed me to buy houses, apartments, entire complexes over the years.

Getting rent from 37 diffferent people every month so far on top of what I still make on crypto and stocks so yeah, you can speak about bubbles, collapses and crashes like all other people who missed the train. Financial independence is nice.

Since when did crypto collapse, as you claim? Pretty much peaked just last year. Still making big money here. Sold alot last year, bought up on the dip. This market is just like the stock market. Up and down, yet mostly up. This is how you make the money.
 
Last edited:
The funny thing here is, you think I just made pocket change.

Investing in crypto and tech starting 10 years ago, allowed me to buy houses, apartments, entire complexes over the years.

Getting rent from 37 diffferent people every month so far on top of what I still make on crypto and stocks so yeah, you can speak about bubbles, collapses and crashes like all other people who missed the train. Financial independence is nice.

Since when did crypto collapse, as you claim? Pretty much peaked just last year. Still making big money here.
So your argument is basically "I made money, therefore my point is correct."

That’s survivorship bias.

Making money in a massive market doesn’t prove bubbles, crashes, or overvaluation aren’t real...it just means you entered early, got lucky enough to capitalize better than others.

Plenty of people made fortunes in .com before the crash too. Same with housing before 2008. Same with crypto before multiple brutal drawdowns.

And crypto absolutely has had collapses, Bitcoin dropped ~75% in 2018 and another in 2022, Major firms and exchanges blew up and trillions in market cap got erased multiple times overnight.

The hard part is assuming past gains automatically mean future risk is gone. It isn't

I’ve also capitalized successfully over the years through investing. Making money in markets can absolutely build real wealth, It isn't for me, my goal is my children, there children and so on.

However, I don’t confuse making money in a strong cycle with being some prophetic genius.

Good returns don’t automatically mean a thesis is flawless, that risk disappears, or that "get on the AI train or get left behind" suddenly becomes deep analysis.

AI will likely be transformative. And, people will make huge money. Just like people did with the internet, real estate, and crypto.

I’ve made money too, and I’m grateful for it...but I’m not arrogant enough to assume profits alone make me an economic oracle or a genius and I keep my personal success close to me and don't announce it on a tech forum.

"I got rich, therefore AI can only go up and everyone else is dumb" isn’t wisdom. It just sounds like ego with a portfolio.
 
So your argument is basically "I made money, therefore my point is correct."

That’s survivorship bias.

Making money in a massive market doesn’t prove bubbles, crashes, or overvaluation aren’t real...it just means you entered early, got lucky enough to capitalize better than others.

Plenty of people made fortunes in .com before the crash too. Same with housing before 2008. Same with crypto before multiple brutal drawdowns.

And crypto absolutely has had collapses, Bitcoin dropped ~75% in 2018 and another in 2022, Major firms and exchanges blew up and trillions in market cap got erased multiple times overnight.

The hard part is assuming past gains automatically mean future risk is gone. It isn't

I’ve also capitalized successfully over the years through investing. Making money in markets can absolutely build real wealth, It isn't for me, my goal is my children, there children and so on.

However, I don’t confuse making money in a strong cycle with being some prophetic genius.

Good returns don’t automatically mean a thesis is flawless, that risk disappears, or that "get on the AI train or get left behind" suddenly becomes deep analysis.

AI will likely be transformative. And, people will make huge money. Just like people did with the internet, real estate, and crypto.

I’ve made money too, and I’m grateful for it...but I’m not arrogant enough to assume profits alone make me an economic oracle or a genius and I keep my personal success close to me and don't announce it on a tech forum.

"I got rich, therefore AI can only go up and everyone else is dumb" isn’t wisdom. It just sounds like ego with a portfolio.

Never claimed guru but I had a clear vision of where the market was going and went all in and sticked to the plan all along, then invested the earnings gradually futher in stuff that would not vanish, real estate, or sure it might vanish but insured so don't really make a difference for me.

Crypto had huge ups and downs, its a volatile market, but that just means you can make crazy money if you are smart about it. That is what alot people do. As I said, peaked just last year and it will probably set new records in a year or two again.

Crypto took at hit in 2018 but already the following year, it was higher than ever before and in 2021 it literally exploded for the first time, last year was the second crazy year peaking.

What do I do when markets dip? I buy. Big dips means I buy alot. Then I wait, and take home huge gains.

BTC and ETH is the only crypto I buy tho.

I don't agree on crypto crash at all. You talk about 2018, now look at what BTC/ETH is worth today. Crash? Nope. Exploded more likely.
 
Last edited:
Never claimed guru but I had a clear vision of where the market was going and went all in and sticked to the plan all along, then invested the earnings gradually futher in stuff that would not vanish, real estate, or sure it might vanish but insured so don't really make a difference for me.

Crypto had huge ups and downs, its a volatile market, but that just means you can make crazy money if you are smart about it. That is what alot people do. As I said, peaked just last year and it will probably set new records in a year or two again.

Crypto took at hit in 2018 but already the following year, it was higher than ever before and in 2021 it literally exploded for the first time, last year was the second crazy year peaking.

What do I do when markets dip? I buy. Big dips means I buy alot. Then I wait, and take home huge gains.

BTC and ETH is the only crypto I buy tho.

I don't agree on crypto crash at all. You talk about 2018, now look at what BTC/ETH is worth today. Crash? Nope. Exploded more likely.
You’re describing volatility like it’s proof something never crashed.

That’s the core issue.

A crash doesn’t mean it never recovered. A crash means a major drawdown happened. BTC dropping ~80% absolutely was a crash...even if it later hit new highs. By that logic, the dot com crash wasn’t a crash either because Amazon survived and the Nasdaq eventually recovered. That’s obviously nonsense.

You’re confusing long term appreciation with absence of crashes.
Plenty of smart people got wiped because they assumed recovery was guaranteed.

And yes, BTC/ETH have massively appreciated over time. That still doesn’t erase crashes.
If an asset falls 70 to 80%, that’s a crash.
If it later increases10x’s, that’s a recovery.
Those are not mutually exclusive.

That’s not proof crashes aren’t real...it’s proof that sometimes enduring real crashes can still be profitable.

Here’s the bigger point...just because you’ve had success doesn’t automatically mean you’re smarter than everyone else or that your strategy is bulletproof.

Making money...especially in volatile markets, can come from discipline, timing, conviction, luck, favorable macro conditions, or all of the above. Sometimes you’re skilled. Sometimes you’re early. Sometimes the market simply rewards your bet.

But success can also create overconfidence. Plenty of people who made fortunes thought they had it all figured out… right up until they got wrecked later.

That’s why your argument keeps missing the distinction between "I’ve been successful so far" and "My approach can’t fail."

No one is denying buying BTC/ETH early and holding could be hugely profitable.

But markets don’t care about confidence. They don’t care about past wins.
And they absolutely can humble anyone. You can make millions and still get crushed.

You’re making bets on future demand, adoption, regulation, liquidity, and human behavior. Sometimes those bets pay off massively. Sometimes they don’t.

Real wisdom is knowing markets can make you feel invincible right before reminding you they can take it back too.
 
You’re describing volatility like it’s proof something never crashed.

That’s the core issue.

A crash doesn’t mean it never recovered. A crash means a major drawdown happened. BTC dropping ~80% absolutely was a crash...even if it later hit new highs. By that logic, the dot com crash wasn’t a crash either because Amazon survived and the Nasdaq eventually recovered. That’s obviously nonsense.

You’re confusing long term appreciation with absence of crashes.
Plenty of smart people got wiped because they assumed recovery was guaranteed.

And yes, BTC/ETH have massively appreciated over time. That still doesn’t erase crashes.
If an asset falls 70 to 80%, that’s a crash.
If it later increases10x’s, that’s a recovery.
Those are not mutually exclusive.

That’s not proof crashes aren’t real...it’s proof that sometimes enduring real crashes can still be profitable.

Here’s the bigger point...just because you’ve had success doesn’t automatically mean you’re smarter than everyone else or that your strategy is bulletproof.

Making money...especially in volatile markets, can come from discipline, timing, conviction, luck, favorable macro conditions, or all of the above. Sometimes you’re skilled. Sometimes you’re early. Sometimes the market simply rewards your bet.

But success can also create overconfidence. Plenty of people who made fortunes thought they had it all figured out… right up until they got wrecked later.

That’s why your argument keeps missing the distinction between "I’ve been successful so far" and "My approach can’t fail."

No one is denying buying BTC/ETH early and holding could be hugely profitable.

But markets don’t care about confidence. They don’t care about past wins.
And they absolutely can humble anyone. You can make millions and still get crushed.

You’re making bets on future demand, adoption, regulation, liquidity, and human behavior. Sometimes those bets pay off massively. Sometimes they don’t.

Real wisdom is knowing markets can make you feel invincible right before reminding you they can take it back too.

Smart people don't sell in panic. They buy during panic. Markets always recover.
 
Smart people don't sell in panic. They buy during panic. Markets always recover.
Markets always recover, is exactly the kind of absolute statement people make right before learning history the hard way. Thinking "all markets always recover" is lazy thinking.

The smarter mindset is, Strong markets often recover. Good assets often recover. But not every asset, not every market, and not on your timeline.

Patience matters. Discipline matters. But so do risk management, humility, and understanding that sometimes things really do break.

"Always" is where good investing logic turns into dangerous ideology. But believing you’ve unlocked some foolproof formula and that markets "always" reward you?

No, That kind of mindset is often less a sign of mastery…and more a sign the lesson just hasn’t arrived yet.
 
Markets always recover, is exactly the kind of absolute statement people make right before learning history the hard way. Thinking "all markets always recover" is lazy thinking.

The smarter mindset is, Strong markets often recover. Good assets often recover. But not every asset, not every market, and not on your timeline.

Patience matters. Discipline matters. But so do risk management, humility, and understanding that sometimes things really do break.

"Always" is where good investing logic turns into dangerous ideology. But believing you’ve unlocked some foolproof formula and that markets "always" reward you?

No, That kind of mindset is often less a sign of mastery…and more a sign the lesson just hasn’t arrived yet.
Did you get burned since you are so insisting? You know that crashing markets will affect all people, even if they don't invest, right? Unless maybe you live off-grid in a cabin somewhere in the woods. Market crash = Massive inflation. The poor gets even more poor. The rich gets less rich but still survive and enjoy life.

However what is the alternative? Stockpiling your money in a safe, loosing value over time? There is no way around investing, unless you prefer to work your life away for scraps.

Is it guarranteed to make you rich, nah, but not doing it is 100% guarranteed not to make you wealthy unless you have some sort of other masterplan, that does not involve working for other people for peanuts.

Smart investors don't sell during panic. I never did and I never will. I slowly buy up instead. Following the plan. Grabbing profits during highs, buy during lows.
 
Last edited:
Back