SK Hynix expects memory chip shortage to persist until at least 2030

Alfonso Maruccia

Posts: 2,807   +1,085
Staff
AI Gold Rush: SK Hynix's latest quarterly results confirm a familiar trend across the semiconductor supply chain. AI data center projects are putting enormous pressure on manufacturers' ability to meet demand, and end customers are likely to face unprecedented shortages for years to come.

SK Hynix recently published its financial results for the third quarter of 2026. Beyond the rosy numbers fueled by surging demand for memory chips, the South Korean semiconductor manufacturer also outlined where it expects the market to go over the next few years. Big spoiler: demand for AI-related products isn't going anywhere anytime soon, which means the ongoing DRAM shortage could persist for years.

SK Hynix said that the third quarter of its financial year ended with 104.6155 trillion won ($78 billion) in revenue, 83.3338 trillion won ($63 billion) in operating profit, and 39.7756 trillion won ($30 billion) in net profit. Revenue and operating profit rose by 32% and 38%, respectively, compared with the previous quarter.

These unprecedented results were largely driven by a massive increase in sales of server DDR5 memory chips, while shipments of newer HBM4 chips have only just begun. NAND sales for SSDs are also expanding, while higher-margin data center products continue to grow across the board. For the first time in its history, SK Hynix surpassed 100 trillion won in quarterly revenue in Q3 2026.

The Korean manufacturer, one of the memory industry's "Big Three," described the ongoing memory crisis as a "virtuous" cycle for its business. SK Hynix expects the growing adoption of generative AI, chatbots, and other technologies based on large language models to drive further investment in infrastructure and additional memory products.

"The company likewise expects the memory market to sustain its growth, led in the short term by enterprise and personal AI and, over the mid-to-long term, by physical AI such as autonomous driving and robotics," SK Hynix added.

Despite the backlash against data center projects in the US and elsewhere in the world, SK Hynix said new infrastructure projects are putting further pressure on manufacturers' ability to meet demand for memory chips. Supply is failing to keep pace with the market's rapid growth, and SK Hynix now expects demand to exceed supply "through 2030."

The Korean giant is planning to "accelerate" the expansion of its manufacturing capacity. SK Hynix is building new chip plants in its homeland and the US, although it will likely take years for these new facilities to come online. In the meantime, customers will just have to "enjoy" their DDR5 shortage for a few more years, the company suggests.

Permalink to story:

 
Yup, sure. Don't worry everyone, sales are fine, don't sell your stock off. Line only goes up. Their "demand" is entirely dependant on the bond market's willingness to lend money for Big AI build outs. Im sure they have orders or even letters of intent, but the money doesn't exist until it is in your hand
 
Year 2030:
"We expect the shortage to persist till at least 2035 by the best estimates. A more sober outlook suggests 2038."

Year 2040:
"Our supply is ramping up nicely. By 2046, the market should be flooded with DDR."

Year 2050...
 
Hopes and dreams of the greedy Corp. The bubble is already showing it's cracks and will pop long before their dreams come to light.

They are already doing damage control with more circular investments...
 
The bubble is showing signs of popping, hopefully it happens soon,and if the current US administration allows to happen.
SK hynix and the memory cartel of course keep projecting longer and longer dates as to when supply improves, they don't want supply to improve when they're making record profits.
 
The bubble is showing signs of popping, hopefully it happens soon,and if the current US administration allows to happen.
SK hynix and the memory cartel of course keep projecting longer and longer dates as to when supply improves, they don't want supply to improve when they're making record profits.
I have a feeling a bailout will happen, simply because they borrowed **** tons of money from everyone's pensions and their holding it as kind of like threat saying "bail us out or everyone looses their retirement money". Same thing happened during the housing crash and we never really fixed any of the loopholes that allowed it to happen.

Although, instead of just bailing out the banks we're also going to have to bailout all the tech companies, too.
 
CXMT is currently the only "joker" that can create some balance in the market.

If CXMT starts flooding the consumer market with memory, the others will have to follow or risk devestating their market share as CXMT will sign long term contracts with manufacturers.
 
CXMT is currently the only "joker" that can create some balance in the market.

If CXMT starts flooding the consumer market with memory, the others will have to follow or risk devestating their market share as CXMT will sign long term contracts with manufacturers.
It's important to note that CMXT is really only interested in making LPDDR5/5X and that's mostly for mobile devices. That doesn't really help us with lower DDR5 modules for our game boxes. Their chips are also already banned in the US so don't expect it to make to your iPhone or Playstation anytime soon. They put restrictions on it because they are afraid that "a surge of Chinese memory chips, which would aid the Chinese Communist Party’s strategy of distorting markets and destroying profitability"

 
"Companies planning the shortage advised the shortage will continue while governments keep spending trillions in preparation to destroy their own economies ...... news at 11"
 
CXMT is currently the only "joker" that can create some balance in the market.

If CXMT starts flooding the consumer market with memory, the others will have to follow or risk devestating their market share as CXMT will sign long term contracts with manufacturers.

oh look a news bot botting in the forum.

CXMT is only making memory for China's government AI program. Any ram that makes it to consumers is sloppy seconds and will dry up when more China AI farms come online.
 
Wouldn't it be funny if someone suddenly came out with a completely new type of faster, cheaper, better, memory type and made all of the current memory types obsolete overnight...
 
Back