Sony expects to sell three million PlayStation 4 consoles by the end of the year

Shawn Knight

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Sony is expecting to sell at least three million PlayStation 4 gaming consoles by the end of the year and five million by next March according to president and chief executive officer of Sony’s U.S. computer entertainment division Jack Tretton.

During a recent interview, the executive pointed out that Sony is running a marathon, not a race, in terms of next generation console sales. Getting out to a nice start is a good thing to do which is exactly what will happen later this week when Sony drops the PS4 a week ahead of Microsoft’s Xbox One. The PS4 will launch in the US on November 15 followed by Europe two weeks later on November 29. By the end of the year, it’ll be available for purchase in 32 countries. That is, if stock holds up.

sony sees sales million playstation units sony

Tretton seems confident that Sony will not run into any supply issues this holiday season like those that crippled sales of its predecessor back in 2006. He said the only hurdle left that is not a non-issue until it’s over is launching the console, having people engage with the network and having it all go smoothly. Whether or not Sony will be prepared to handle the massive influx of new users on its network this holiday season, however, remains to be seen.

The three million mark falls in line with analyst Colin Sebastian’s worldwide PS4 sales forecast released last month. What’s more, Sony’s game operations chief Andrew House also predicted five million consoles sold by the end of March 2014.

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Sounds realistic to me. I figure just over two million for the XB1 by Jan 1st, with its first quarter numbers depending entirely on how fast the titles show up and how much bait-and-switch Microsoft engages in.
 
Just because Xbox One is not launching in many countries (including mine), I put the numbers somewhere around 2-3 times lower than PS4's. I'd be surprised if does better.
 
With over one million pre-orders alone, the holiday season around the corner, and the fact that it's $200 less than the PS3 at launch ($100 if you count the 20GB model) I don't see the 3 million unit target to be that far-fetched, also they have more positive press globally than the competition.
 
I'd day that's a safe bet. As long as they can be manufactured they'll get sold. The few hold-outs will be from people who aren't ready to switch for backwards compatibility reasons and those without the cash to plunk down on a new system / accessories.
 
Possibly supply won't be a problem (although I won't hold my breath) but what's the bet the PSN will buckle under the load...

Oh, this is not even a bet. If ALL PS4 buyers are required to do a day one update that is 300MB in size I can see their servers crashing periodically or at least being painstakingly slow. I'm hoping that the majority of midnight launchers have theirs updated before I get mine from Amazon later that Friday so I can avoid this.
 
Oh, this is not even a bet. If ALL PS4 buyers are required to do a day one update that is 300MB in size I can see their servers crashing periodically or at least being painstakingly slow. I'm hoping that the majority of midnight launchers have theirs updated before I get mine from Amazon later that Friday so I can avoid this.

I wish you luck, you're gonna need it.
 
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