AI-driven warfare is here, and the Iran strikes show how fast it's advancing

midian182

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Cutting corners: When the war in Ukraine began in 2022, it was hailed as the first conflict to utilize the full spectrum of modern technology. The war in Iran, on the other hand, is the first where AI is playing an integral part, including planning bombing strikes quicker than "the speed of thought."

Reports this week claim Anthropic's Claude AI model was used in early US-Israel operations against Iran, including intelligence analysis and scenario planning tied to targeting.

The coverage has reignited concerns that large language models are increasingly being folded into the "kill chain," potentially accelerating decision-making and creating pressure for humans to accept machine-generated options faster than traditional oversight processes allow.

Reports say that Claude was used to assist in the initial strikes on Iran on Saturday that hit a range of targets and killed its supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The US military said it is looking into state media reports of a missile hitting a school in southern Iran that killed 165 people, many children.

The use of Claude in Iran came just days after the Trump administration moved to label Anthropic a "supply chain risk." Trump told federal agencies and the military to stop using Anthropic's tools following a breakdown in negotiations over restrictions the company says it wanted: no mass domestic surveillance of Americans and no fully autonomous weapons.

Anthropic's tool continues to be used by the military while it is being phased out in favor of models from OpenAI, which struck a deal with the Pentagon over the weekend.

In 2024, Claude became part of a system developed by war-tech firm Palantir that was deployed across the US Department of War and other national security agencies. The system is designed to "dramatically improve intelligence analysis and enable officials in their decision-making processes."

"The AI machine is making recommendations for what to target, which is actually much quicker in some ways than the speed of thought," Craig Jones, a senior lecturer in political geography at Newcastle University and an expert in kill chains, told The Guardian. "So you've got scale and you've got speed, you're [carrying out the] assassination-style strikes at the same time as you're decapitating the regime's ability to respond with all the aerial ballistic missiles. That might have taken days or weeks in historic wars. [Now] you're doing everything at once."

In 2025, Iran claimed it was using domestically developed AI in its missile-targeting systems. However, the country's primary uses of the technology appear to be cyber operations – phishing, DDoS attacks, and other disruptive intrusion attempts against US targets – as well as propaganda campaigns.

Ultimately, AI is no longer a bit player in modern warfare. It's becoming a core element of both offense and defense, shortening the time between surveillance, analysis, and action. Beyond the immediate concerns about AI's tendancy to get some things very wrong, there are worries about how this usage will escalate in the future – and what it could mean for humanity.

Image credit: Mohammed Ibrahim

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Thank God we found a use for AI cause writing software wasn't it.
The cronies want the benefit of ai writing code without the proofreading chief engineers. Nvidia 1 step forward 3 steps back. 🙃
Play ai writing code games win ai writing code prizes!🤪
 
Wait. So big boys can play with AI and we don’t have any meaningful games where AI would be of any use except bonfire fuel. That’s not fair.
 
Everyone points to the places where AI “gets it wrong”… conveniently forgetting how often humans “get it wrong” as well.

The thing is, AI improves rapidly day by day… whereas humanity pretty much stays the same.

One can argue that humans might be a bit better than AI in certain things… now… but that won’t be true a few months from now - certainly not in a few years…
 
Impossible to have a useful discussion about this without knowing a lot more about what inputs the AI is acting on, what the non-AI process looked like, what parts are and were handled by traditional software engineering / data analysis, etc. And you're not going to get a look at any of that from the outside.

My guess if we knew exactly what AI's role in the process was we'd be underwhelmed at the part it does vs. what's handled by everything else, and that the people who do know are rolling their eyes at this discussion as much ado about nothing.
 
Everyone points to the places where AI “gets it wrong”… conveniently forgetting how often humans “get it wrong” as well.

The thing is, AI improves rapidly day by day… whereas humanity pretty much stays the same.

One can argue that humans might be a bit better than AI in certain things… now… but that won’t be true a few months from now - certainly not in a few years…
And by then we will have to think hard in order to find a place for us in the World.
 
I'll echo the "must be perfect" unargument. As long as it helps me do better, that's all the justification I need. Considering how bloated and inefficient our government has gotten (USAF not perfect either during my 20 years), using AI anywhere is a massive upgrade.
 
Very interesting article. AI may improve the planning time, but IMHO, the delivery time is more important. So far most of these strikes have been against stationary targets, not targets of opportunity that would benefit from AI.

Iran has a HUGE advantage in delivery time. Iran's hypersonic missile flight time to Israel is 7-12 minutes. The US and Israel don't have that luxury, they have to send a plane near the target, which can take hours. Iran is the size of the Western US. Israel's main concern is taking out Iran's missile trucks, which can pop out of the underground missile cities. AI could be used to spot launching patterns. But the target window is probably less than 15 minutes. It's the same problem that Russia had with Ukrainian Himars launchers. Shoot and Scoot. Only it's 100x worse because the distances are far greater, and these missile cities are all over Iran.
 
I think all these murders aren't the work of artificial intelligence, but rather the work of CIA-recruited spies close to Iranian leaders.
But maybe Claude is responsible for the murders of hundreds of children in an Iranian school.

Exactly. They'll say no human was responsible for that atrocity. And they'd be right, in all sorts of ways...
 
Meanwhile, Iran has started bombing Amazon AWS data centers in the EMEA region. Things are definitely getting interesting now...
I have it on good authority that they only bombed AWS in the ME because they couldn't figure out where Bezos was actually living...
 
I think all these murders aren't the work of artificial intelligence, but rather the work of CIA-recruited spies close to Iranian leaders.
But maybe Claude is responsible for the murders of hundreds of children in an Iranian school.

Precisely. Claude isn't real AI - there aren't any real AIs at all, anywhere. So every mention of its use in things like this is merely marketing. Claude or GPT could never, ever help in military situations - it can't even help in video games, which are orders less complex. They never used it once, they're just saying they did.

Same with Iran. It's not real and never has been. Someday they may develop an actual AI, but LLMs and machine-learning aren't intelligent at all. Parameters aren't intelligent. Algorithms cannot think - they can only sparsely and very distantly mimic thought.

As for "the speed of thoughts" statements - clearly made by the weakest possible mind. Pathetic.
 
Precisely. Claude isn't real AI - there aren't any real AIs at all, anywhere. So every mention of its use in things like this is merely marketing. Claude or GPT could never, ever help in military situations - it can't even help in video games, which are orders less complex. They never used it once, they're just saying they did.

Same with Iran. It's not real and never has been. Someday they may develop an actual AI, but LLMs and machine-learning aren't intelligent at all. Parameters aren't intelligent. Algorithms cannot think - they can only sparsely and very distantly mimic thought.

As for "the speed of thoughts" statements - clearly made by the weakest possible mind. Pathetic.
Semantics aside, the entity they call AI does work quite well at all sorts of things. Is it “true artificial intelligence”? No. But it CAN make certain calculations far faster than we can even think of them.

Heck, even an Excel spreadsheet can…
 
You Suck Hesgeth, the restrictions anthropic asked for are resonable, then to retaliate against them, is childish just like trump would act.
So… you think a company has the right to dictate terms to a government who will use their product? And “retaliate” means they simply won’t use your product but choose a competitor instead?

Let’s say a toilet company said “you can use our product, but only for number ones”? Would you buy 2 toilets? Or simply get ride of the bad one and buy one that allows you to use it for everything you need?
 
Hegseth talks of the arrogance of others whilst his own is off the charts!!! Kudos though for renaming the Department of Defence to the Department of War. A smidgen of honesty from the most malevolent and evil administration in the history of the USA which is a full on War mongering piece of **** which threatens the future of the whole world.
 
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