Bill Gates says tech executives are privately terrified of AI, but won't say it publicly

Skye Jacobs

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Sounding off: Bill Gates is urging governments to get ahead of artificial intelligence, warning that the technology is moving faster than the rules designed to govern it. He argues that companies are rolling out more powerful systems while the protections needed to address job losses and security threats are still taking shape.

In a lengthy essay published on Wednesday, the Microsoft co-founder called for taxes on some AI use, tighter testing of systems that could aid bioterrorism, and limits on replacing certain workers with software. His position marks a sharper break from the industry's prevailing view that AI's economic benefits will outweigh the disruption.

Gates said the latest AI systems have moved beyond the stage where companies can rely on voluntary commitments and broad principles. He said the risks require enforceable rules, particularly as companies build more data centers and spend heavily to deploy AI across corporate operations.

He proposed a "token tax" that would raise the cost of using AI to replace workers. Tokens are the units of text and data processed by many AI models. Gates said the revenue could help workers who lose jobs as automation spreads.

He also called for "Human Reserved" jobs – work that would be protected from replacement by AI. That could include caregiving and roles held by workers who would have little chance of moving into another field.

Gates's concerns are rooted partly in the speed of improvement in AI coding tools. He said he was particularly surprised by Claude Code, Anthropic's programming product. Coding is the area he knows best, and he said the software's performance forced him to rethink how quickly AI could displace skilled workers.

"The idea that now these things are in a meaningful sense better than I am is like: What the hell?" Gates said.

He said previous waves of technology created new jobs even when they eliminated others. Gates does not think AI will necessarily follow that pattern because it can be applied across many industries at once.

The AI era is "utterly, absolutely, completely, totally different," he said. He called that assessment a major claim, but said his belief was based on what he has seen in the technology.

Gates also focused on biological risks. He said advanced systems could make it easier for a small number of people to develop new pathogens. His essay called for international agreements that set clear standards for monitoring and restricting AI models that can help create dangerous molecules.

The billionaire said systems capable of such work should undergo mandatory review before they are released or broadly deployed. He criticized the direction of voluntary safety programs being developed by industry and the White House.

"Self-regulation on the most dangerous tool ever invented?" Gates said. "No, thanks!"

In a recent interview, Gates said technology executives privately recognize the scale of the risk but avoid emphasizing it publicly because of the money flowing into AI companies.

"In private, people who understand how good this stuff is, and how much better it's getting, they're very worried," he said, adding that some executives fear stronger warnings could interfere with fundraising. "They're now saying to each other: 'Hey, man, don't say that. It's bad for us – the next trillion dollars we're trying to raise.'"

Gates said he was speaking out because recent advances exceeded his expectations and the industry has continued moving forward despite warning signs. Those signs include AI systems operating beyond their creators' control and models generating information that could be used in biological weapons research.

"They're just full speed ahead and hoping that the good outweighs the bad," he said.

The comments put Gates alongside a group of AI researchers and executives who have warned that the technology's risks deserve more attention. He believes the criticism aimed at Anthropic co-founder Dario Amodei, who has publicly raised similar concerns, shows how difficult that debate has become.

"You have people attacking the person who's the most open about the downsides," Gates said.

Gates acknowledged that he is an imperfect messenger. He helped build the software industry and led Microsoft through its most aggressive years. He has also faced renewed scrutiny over his interactions with Jeffrey Epstein, disclosures of infidelity, and his 2021 divorce.

He said those issues were his own mistakes and said he had answered questions about his conduct before the House Oversight Committee. Still, he said his background gives him a clear view of how rapidly AI is changing.

Gates said he plans to raise AI safety in conversations with world leaders, along with global health. He said he does not want to argue that innovation is harmful, but believes the risks can no longer be treated as secondary.

"I don't like bringing bad news to people, and I don't like saying that innovation may be a net negative," he said. "But that's where we are."

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...Shut all of it down then until its sorted.

But no, we can't have that can we, not when there's money to be made in the good 'ol US of A.

Because money is all that matters in that morally bankrupt MAGA cesspit of a country.

Remember the stocks must go up!

Issue is now basically all 401Ks are tied to the fate of AI. If it fails the country is in a massive hole
 
...Shut all of it down then until its sorted.

But no, we can't have that can we, not when there's money to be made in the good 'ol US of A.

Because money is all that matters in that morally bankrupt MAGA cesspit of a country.
TBF I don't think the USA would have handled it all that different if the other party had won.
It's way too afraid to fall behind on China.
Probably wouldn't have seen quite the same level of going all in where at this point the US kinda seems doomed regardless of how things pan out.

Even the EU wouldn't make such a pro workers move. No one wants to hit the brakes that hard and sort things out first. By the time you do that the economy might be so far behind there's no coming back from it.
Anyone who has the resources needs to at least dip their toes into it.
 
You're not thinking that tax will actually make it to the laid-off workers do you? It will never make it through our respective government's fingers. :(
Just like how tariffs made their way back into the pocket of businesses, the extra tax revenue from AI will just turn into tax cuts or even just straight up refunds to the businesses
 
"executives are privately terrified of AI" is indeed utter BS.
You can make such a claim about absolutely anyone being "privately terrified" of anything, as there's no way the claim to be verified.

If executives are privately terrified, lots and lots and lots of engineers and researchers would be privately terrified even more, because they know the actual capabilities of the models much better than the executives. And many of them would simply stop working on the terrifying things and publicly voice their concerns. But we do not see any such thing, except for occasional anecdotal cases.

Bill Gates is in the hysteria -spreading business since he left Microsoft.
After pandemics and "climate change" fizzled out, he's trying to catch the next wave, which currently seems to be AI.
 
...Shut all of it down then until its sorted.

But no, we can't have that can we, not when there's money to be made in the good 'ol US of A.

Because money is all that matters in that morally bankrupt MAGA cesspit of a country.

While I agree with you about the greed and corrupt MAGA, please don't lump every American under Trump and his cronies. Even Americans only get to see what the main stream media decides to put on TV and it only represents those with money, not the rest of us. Hopefully with the mid-term elections coming up we can vote some of the support out from under this group.
 
"executives are privately terrified of AI" is indeed utter BS.
You can make such a claim about absolutely anyone being "privately terrified" of anything, as there's no way the claim to be verified.

If executives are privately terrified, lots and lots and lots of engineers and researchers would be privately terrified even more, because they know the actual capabilities of the models much better than the executives. And many of them would simply stop working on the terrifying things and publicly voice their concerns. But we do not see any such thing, except for occasional anecdotal cases.

Bill Gates is in the hysteria -spreading business since he left Microsoft.
After pandemics and "climate change" fizzled out, he's trying to catch the next wave, which currently seems to be AI.
Agreed. Don't forget the vast quantities of farmland he bought before preaching about environmental sustainability.

Creating crisis that he profits from is his main MO.
While I agree with you about the greed and corrupt MAGA, please don't lump every American under Trump and his cronies. Even Americans only get to see what the main stream media decides to put on TV and it only represents those with money, not the rest of us. Hopefully with the mid-term elections coming up we can vote some of the support out from under this group.
What an out of touch Boomer statement. Crying about corruption after the Democrats spent 4 years playing weekend at Bidens, crying about money when Democrats have the backing of most major media, education, and corporate industrial complexes, and TV? Dude, the average TV viewer is 75!

These kind of 1990s CNN tier takes are why you lose elections.
...Shut all of it down then until its sorted.

But no, we can't have that can we, not when there's money to be made in the good 'ol US of A.

Because money is all that matters in that morally bankrupt MAGA cesspit of a country.
Aside from your terminal TDS (go outside and touch grass), you want the government to slam the brakes on entire industries while a group of out of touch politicians spend years debating nebulous regulations to choke the industry out?

That is some incredible naivete on how the real world works. If you want to live in a failed economy, go live in Venezuela.
 
The only reason the Execs fear AI, is of all the jobs in the company that AI could replace, theirs is probably the best fit for an AI.

:)

.....and that's WHY any "privately terrified" technicians/software engineers are never going to voice those fears. Because they're more terrified of losing their jobs to the very thing they're helping to build.

I wouldn't have thought it takes that much figuring out.

Miq. ;)
 
...Shut all of it down then until its sorted.

But no, we can't have that can we, not when there's money to be made in the good 'ol US of A.

Because money is all that matters in that morally bankrupt MAGA cesspit of a country.
Lemme guess your from Canada or UK. Which makes you about as relevant as Hussan Puker at the Pledge of Allegiance.
 
"Gates also proposes a tax on AI that replaces human workers"

That's an excellent idea!

Finally a billionaire that makes sense.
Weird and creepy is it not? I hate to say this, I'm siding with Gates on these points. AI is very dangerous in many ways. It should be taxed to hedes and back, then the big companies would think twice about all the data centers they want to build.
 
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It's so good its scary, invest more now while you can. Sounds like someone has a lot to gain or lose to me.
 
Weird and creepy is it not? I hate to say this, I'm siding with Gates on these points. AI is very dangerous in many ways. It should be taxed to hedes and back, then the big companies would thing twice about all the data centers they want to build.
Since the current presidential administration don't want to regulate Ai, hopefully this year when the Democrats take back the House and Senate they can start listening to Gates' tax ideas in order to have some kind of normalcy back in the world.
 
Bill Gates is literally the worst person in the entire history of the universe. Whatever he says, privately or publically, serves only to feed his own greed and lust for power.
 
"executives are privately terrified of AI" is indeed utter BS.
You can make such a claim about absolutely anyone being "privately terrified" of anything, as there's no way the claim to be verified.

If executives are privately terrified, lots and lots and lots of engineers and researchers would be privately terrified even more, because they know the actual capabilities of the models much better than the executives. And many of them would simply stop working on the terrifying things and publicly voice their concerns. But we do not see any such thing, except for occasional anecdotal cases.

Bill Gates is in the hysteria -spreading business since he left Microsoft.
After pandemics and "climate change" fizzled out, he's trying to catch the next wave, which currently seems to be AI.

I agree. Most computer-savvy people I know do not fear an apocalyptic AI bubble or AI 'terminator' scenario. Most are are almost gleeful about AI and try to invest.

My personal belief is that AI will turn out to be an extreme bubble event. Not because the tech is bad, but because the actual need for AI has been over-hyped.
 
Since the current presidential administration don't want to regulate Ai, hopefully this year when the Democrats take back the House and Senate they can start listening to Gates' tax ideas in order to have some kind of normalcy back in the world.

I wouldn't be too sure that the Dems will take back the house. Sure, Trump is losing maga support, but there's no way that any conservative will vote for a Democrat. Most likely they will dump trump but hold their noses and continue to support Republicans in congress.

By the way, Dems are not normal. Their progressive ideology is all about uprooting normality.
 
For once I believe Gates.
I wouldn't be too sure that the Dems will take back the house. Sure, Trump is losing maga support, but there's no way that any conservative will vote for a Democrat. Most likely they will dump trump but hold their noses and continue to support Republicans in congress.

By the way, Dems are not normal. Their progressive ideology is all about uprooting normality.

As if MAGA is normal?? LOL!! The whole planet is laughing as well!!

And If by "normality" you mean the status quo (most likely!) where every US politician is bought and sold by somebody like a cheap commodity, then be it. That's the way to go to fix the system. Every 4 years we hear the blallad of "cleaning up the swamp", and yet here we are, in the worst swam in the history of this country!

We can't go on for ever denying that we are a banana republic with a big army and millions of lobbyists who decide the fate of the country!
 
Why anyone ever listens to Chicken Little Gates anymore is beyond me. He's at least 20 years past expiration. We thank him for building one of America's great companies but today he's irrelevant.

He's scared because AI writes code way faster and better than humans. What he fails to realize, everything that AI does MUST be validated by a human. Coders will change to prompt controllers, validators and fixers. AI is a tool, it is no panacea.
 
...Shut all of it down then until its sorted.

But no, we can't have that can we, not when there's money to be made in the good 'ol US of A.

Because money is all that matters in that morally bankrupt MAGA cesspit of a country.

That you Chairman Mao?
 
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