OpenAI CEO Sam Altman says superintelligence could arrive in "a few thousand days"

There are only ten million scientists in a population of ten billion. So there's no need to worry that they'll be extinct because they're not smart enough. If that was the case, it would have happened already.

I don't think AI is going to become conscious. Penrose's Orchestrated Objective Reduction (Orch-OR) theory suggests that consciousness requires biological neurons with microtubules and a quantum environment. It's not a proven theory, but I can prove it right now. We have scientific evidence that some birds have self-consciousness because they can recognise themselves in a mirror even if their brains don't have many neurons. We can also see that modern AI (LLMs) which are smarter than most humans still don't have self-consciousness. So the consciousness comes from the biology neurons, not from their structure.

AI doesn't have biology neurons, so it would not become conscious.

And thats where you're both potentially right and definitely wrong. Yes, its possible that neurons and biological material could be necessary for self-consciousness, that we don't know yet.

Unfortunately for your argument, they have biological computers now that can learn at a relatively fast pace and be taught how to play Pong.

These biological computers will surely be self-aware so we will eventually achieve this feat, perhaps sooner than you think as we improve our LLMs, that will open the doors for additional technological breakthroughs in various fields and accelerate technology in every field, leading to a rapid advancement over the next couple of years.
 
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