Big Tech's AI boom is reviving America's nuclear power debate

Skye Jacobs

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TL;DR: As data centers and factories drive US power demand sharply higher after decades of flat consumption, nuclear energy has been pushed back into the center of the debate over how to keep the grid both stable and low-carbon. The question running through boardrooms in Silicon Valley, utilities in the Midwest, and agencies in Washington is whether the US can revive old reactors, build new ones, and stand up small modular designs fast enough to support an AI-driven economy without repeating the sector's cost and safety failures.

Seven years ago, the energy industry looked very different. Utilities such as Entergy were shuttering plants like Palisades on the grounds that cheap natural gas and flat demand had made them uneconomic. Workers who had kept Palisades running well into its fifth decade watched it close in May 2022 with what they described as deep frustration, seeing the decision as driven by forces far beyond the control-room floor.

The plant was sold to Holtec International for decommissioning, a familiar endgame for US nuclear units that had outlived their balance sheets even as they continued to produce about a fifth of the country's electricity.

Palisades is now the opening act in a different story. Holtec shifted from dismantling to revival after securing roughly $3.2 billion in government support to restart the reactor, overhaul major systems, and subsidize the rural utilities that will buy its power.

The plan also calls for building two small modular reactors on the site, lifting total output to about 1,400 megawatts – enough to supply around 1.4 million households.

Executives argue that reopening Palisades has effectively created the first regulatory pathway for taking a US commercial plant from shutdown back to operation, a template now being applied at the Duane Arnold facility in Iowa and at Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania.

For hyperscalers, nuclear's appeal is straightforward. Unlike wind and solar, reactors deliver continuous baseload output, and they do so without carbon emissions. The logic is that long-lived, high-capital assets such as reactors match the profile of hyperscale infrastructure, provided that regulators and financiers can be persuaded to share the risk.

Just this week, Meta underscored that logic by signing multiple agreements to secure more than 6 gigawatts of nuclear power for its future data-center buildout, according to Bloomberg – enough electricity to supply roughly 5 million homes. The deals make Meta the largest corporate purchaser of nuclear power among the AI hyperscalers.

In Washington, the Trump administration has turned that logic into a national program. President Donald Trump has pledged to slash regulations and steer tens of billions of dollars into reopening existing plants and building new ones, casting nuclear as essential to "win" the AI race.

In May, he set a goal of quadrupling US atomic capacity by 2050, a target that implies commissioning around 15 gigawatts of new nuclear power each year from 2030 to 2050, compared with a peak of 10.5 gigawatts in 1974. To prime the pump, the administration struck an $80 billion partnership with private equity group Brookfield and Westinghouse, centered on constructing eight large-scale AP1000 reactors in the US.

The recent track record, however, is sobering. Vogtle units 3 and 4 in Georgia – the first new large-scale reactors built in the US in decades and the first domestic deployment of the AP1000 design – entered service in 2023 and 2024, each about 7 years late and together roughly $18 billion over budget.

Construction costs for the project climbed to around $15,000 per kilowatt, about five times those in South Korea and well above costs in China, India, and France. Those overruns have translated directly into higher customer bills, adding more than $500 a year to typical electricity costs since 2022 and fueling a political backlash that saw two Republican members of Georgia's Public Service Commission lose their seats.

Westinghouse, weighed down by losses linked to Vogtle and other projects, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in 2017. That experience has made utilities cautious about taking on the financial and reputational risk of new large reactors.

Equity and infrastructure investors are betting that a different class of technology could change that equation: small modular reactors. In 2025, private investors put a record $3 billion into SMR startups developing designs that typically deliver one-third or less of the output of a large reactor but are intended to be built as factory-fabricated modules and shipped to the site.

Supporters argue that SMRs reduce project risk by standardizing components, lowering per-unit capital requirements, and allowing capacity to be added incrementally rather than through single, multibillion-dollar bets.

Analysts say that if they can clear regulatory and technical hurdles, such reactors could play a significant role in what Trump has called a nuclear renaissance, especially near data center hubs where land, cooling water, and transmission are already in place.

But the technology is not yet proven in the field. More than 50 SMR designs are under development in the US, and only one company, NuScale, has design approval from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. None has obtained an operating license, let alone entered commercial service.

The push to accelerate approvals is reshaping the regulator itself. The Trump administration has moved to fast-track licensing and to reform what it describes as a "risk-averse" culture inside the NRC. That has drawn criticism from former commissioners and staff who warn that an ongoing loss of experienced personnel could lengthen reviews while also undermining safety.

Analysts such as Julien Dumoulin-Smith of Jefferies question whether utilities will load more high-cost generation onto customer bills at a time when affordability is already a major political issue, arguing that the real question is whether data center operators will step up to underwrite multi-billion-dollar projects if the federal government does not.

Others see a rare alignment of market and policy forces. Adam Stein, director of nuclear energy innovation at the Breakthrough Institute, told The Financial Times that, "this is the best market we have ever seen for nuclear financing with government tax breaks, loans, surging energy demand and private investment." He contrasts the current moment with the last attempted nuclear revival in the mid-2000s, which was undercut by the fracking boom, stagnant demand, and the Fukushima accident. In his view, the underlying conditions now favor "rapid growth in the US nuclear fleet."

Masthead graph credit: The Financial Times

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Nuclear energy's stagnation has been mainly driven by cheap oil. We've had 3rd generation reactors for over 40 years now. High level nuclear waste is over 95% recyclable so the idea it's taken this long to even consider it is flabbergasting
 
I mean, we all know why. It wasn't the right kind of "green" energy that could be exploited/abused for investment.
Nah man. This isn’t a moral debate. Virtue signaling doesn’t finance infrastructure and politics isn’t as big a pull as you suggest. It’s economics; plain and simple.

Energy choices follow returns, not ideals. When oil and gas are cheaper and faster to deploy, capital flows there instead of nuclear. And entrenched interests then work to defend those investments. That is just normal economic behavior.

Nuclear’s long timelines, high upfront costs, and regulatory risk depress investment returns, even though the technology and waste recycling are viable.

This isn’t a conspiracy; it’s capital allocation.

Nuclear is back because AI and industrial demand are soaring, hyperscalers are signing long-term contracts, and government is stepping in to absorb regulatory and financial risk. When power becomes scarce and someone credible is willing to underwrite cost overruns, capital revisits nuclear. It’s because the return profile has changed.
 
We are witnessing the future of America's electrical, digital infrastructure - along with surviellance built in.
Same goes for developing nations. This isn't solely about Electric Vehicles or Data Centers.

The future of the internet and power delivery can be summed up in one word: "subscriptions".

You'll be paying the same company for internet, TV, electricity and phone just to get a bundle discount.
 
If we had a device that influencers, politicians, sales people, CEOs, TV personalities, and cult leaders could talk at to generate electricity, the world would never want for energy again.
:joy: (y) (Y)

Nuke power should never have taken this long for revival. Or, in fact, fallen off the radar for so long to begin with. A perfect storm of events started the anti nuke movement in a relatively short amount of time. (TMI, The China Syndrome, then later massive Soviet incompetence)

Yes, every voice should be heard.
But that does not mean those voices know what they are talking about. Even with the basics.
 
Nah man. This isn’t a moral debate. Virtue signaling doesn’t finance infrastructure and politics isn’t as big a pull as you suggest. It’s economics; plain and simple.

Energy choices follow returns, not ideals. When oil and gas are cheaper and faster to deploy, capital flows there instead of nuclear. And entrenched interests then work to defend those investments. That is just normal economic behavior.

Nuclear’s long timelines, high upfront costs, and regulatory risk depress investment returns, even though the technology and waste recycling are viable.

This isn’t a conspiracy; it’s capital allocation.

Nuclear is back because AI and industrial demand are soaring, hyperscalers are signing long-term contracts, and government is stepping in to absorb regulatory and financial risk. When power becomes scarce and someone credible is willing to underwrite cost overruns, capital revisits nuclear. It’s because the return profile has changed.
What are you smoking? I was talking about all the forced "greenification" (aka windmills, solar) by governments. Except the one that made the most sense; nuclear.

By your own logic, none of that should've had any capital allocation and been so "popular" lol
 
What are you smoking? I was talking about all the forced "greenification" (aka windmills, solar) by governments. Except the one that made the most sense; nuclear.

By your own logic, none of that should've had any capital allocation and been so "popular" lol
Cool your jets, champ. Wind and solar only got so “popular” because subsidies and mandates made them financially attractive, and that’s because they were fast to build, politically easier to support, and easier to scale incrementally. Nuclear has lagged—not because it isn’t a sensible option, but because long timelines, high upfront costs, and regulatory risk kept returns low. Capital flows where the economics work, not where virtue signals or popularity dictate.
 
Nah man. This isn’t a moral debate. Virtue signaling doesn’t finance infrastructure and politics isn’t as big a pull as you suggest. It’s economics; plain and simple.

Energy choices follow returns, not ideals. When oil and gas are cheaper and faster to deploy, capital flows there instead of nuclear. And entrenched interests then work to defend those investments. That is just normal economic behavior.

Nuclear’s long timelines, high upfront costs, and regulatory risk depress investment returns, even though the technology and waste recycling are viable.

This isn’t a conspiracy; it’s capital allocation.

Nuclear is back because AI and industrial demand are soaring, hyperscalers are signing long-term contracts, and government is stepping in to absorb regulatory and financial risk. When power becomes scarce and someone credible is willing to underwrite cost overruns, capital revisits nuclear. It’s because the return profile has changed.

While I'm a firm believer in capitalism, this is one area where politics DOES have an outsized influence and had a great deal to do with it falling off the map. First, there was a loud but vocal group (aren't thay all?) that had a great deal of success equating nuclear energy with the a bomb. While that crowd only caught traction in a few areas, Three Mile island set it off and began a HUGE not in my back yard movement. Add to that the Carter administration was full bore anti nuke, which canceled one project for fuel (Clinch River), and upped the regulatory burden to massive levels, the affordability issue you discuss was created during a time in the mid 70's where oil was at an all time high. The current administration has been the first to take on the regulatory state with nuclear energy coupled with the AI demand boom is just the perfect storm to push the pendulum back the other way.

In fact, the author of this piece also wrote a piece earlier complaining about the reduction of nuclear energy regulations that have occured.
 
Cool your jets, champ. Wind and solar only got so “popular” because subsidies and mandates made them financially attractive, and that’s because they were fast to build, politically easier to support, and easier to scale incrementally. Nuclear has lagged—not because it isn’t a sensible option, but because long timelines, high upfront costs, and regulatory risk kept returns low. Capital flows where the economics work, not where virtue signals or popularity dictate.
I thought you said politics wasnt that big a pull, but it WAS for solar and nuclear?

Nuclear has been viable for decades, if green energy was that big of a deal then there was no reason not to invest as energy demands kept growing.

I dont think you understand how powerful the anti nuclear lobby and NIMBY culture is. Building the actual reactors takes a fraction of the time that fighting the lawsuits does. Look how fast China can build them, and consider how rare nuclear accidents are despite that.
I mean, we all know why. It wasn't the right kind of "green" energy that could be exploited/abused for investment.
Had we wanted a proper "green" future, we would have jumped both feet into the nuclear industry. It is, by any industry standard, VERY safe. If CO2 was such a problem, we should have been churning out gen III reactors in the 90s.
 
Nuclear was doing pretty good...then came the movie "The China Syndrome", the Three Mile Island issue, then Chernobyl.
although the reactor in the USSR was poorly constructed, all these things cause a panic.
I remember in the early 70's, in Jr. high school there was talk of building a nuclear plant within 30 miles of our town. Before our science class we were talking about it, waiting for the teacher to return from his "smoke break" (back then, the teachers lounge was always full of teachers smoking between classes). We he came back, he heard our concerns and canceled class. He spent the entire class period with drawings on the chalk board that he made, how nuclear power worked. Our "fears" of a nuclear plant blowing up were shut down and we were more EDUCATED about how safe and effective nuclear power can be.
 
Cool your jets, champ. Wind and solar only got so “popular” because subsidies and mandates made them financially attractive... politically easier to support...
And you just flip flopped. First it was "just follow the money", now you admit that through gov't subsidies/mandates and politics that, yes, nuclear was ignored for other "green" options. And considering the burden that gov't put on nuclear (that you so naïvely pointed out), it's clear that they have been playing favourites for a while now too.

As I first asked, what are you smoking? Get your story straight next time.
 
And you just flip flopped. First it was "just follow the money", now you admit that through gov't subsidies/mandates and politics that, yes, nuclear was ignored for other "green" options. And considering the burden that gov't put on nuclear (that you so naïvely pointed out), it's clear that they have been playing favourites for a while now too.

As I first asked, what are you smoking? Get your story straight next time.
You’re confusing a change in framing with a change in position. Unfortunately this has become a tedious and unproductive exchange. We’re done.
 
Here's a great idea, heavily tax commercial AI use and data centers. This along with strict regulations will solve many problems.
 
Here's a great idea, heavily tax commercial AI use and data centers. This along with strict regulations will solve many problems.
I don’t think that works the way it sounds.

Taxing or over-regulating AI data centers won’t kill demand so that would just push it offshore or onto dirtier, more stressed grids.

So the power still has to be built, and higher policy risk makes nuclear harder to finance, not easier. So assuming the demand doesn’t vanish, heavy taxing and regulation gets met with gas and higher bills, leaving communities worse off in the end.

I think the best move is making hyperscalers directly underwrite clean nuclear, not trying to tax the demand away.
 
If there's one silver lining to the AI boom it's that we'll finally be getting nuclear fission and *maybe* fusion with how much insane research and progress has been made so quickly trying to feed the beast.
It's going to be a tough decade or so until everything is spun up though.
 
If there's one silver lining to the AI boom it's that we'll finally be getting nuclear fission and *maybe* fusion with how much insane research and progress has been made so quickly trying to feed the beast.
It's going to be a tough decade or so until everything is spun up though.
And therein lies one of the problems.
I'm an architect, and one of the key requirements when viability and environmental studies are conducted is the effect on the local infrastructure. Especially electric access along with water and sewage impact. Those are keys in allowing, or on our part, accepting a project.

These damn nerds are being allowed to progress with their AI projects by corrupt local officials, and then making demands on the infrastructure and are even asking that local residents and commerce be restricted, or even cut out, of what has been available to them long before the AI boom was even thought possible.
 
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