Nvidia says its investments in OpenAI and Anthropic are likely its last

Skye Jacobs

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Bottom line: Nvidia's latest remarks suggest its deep-pocketed relationship with leading AI developers has entered a new phase. At the Morgan Stanley Tech, Media & Telecom conference this week, CEO Jensen Huang said the company's earlier investments in OpenAI and Anthropic are likely its last, pointing to their upcoming public listings as the natural end of such deals.

Huang's explanation was brief, but the implications are broad. Nvidia, whose products have become indispensable to generative AI infrastructure, sits in a position few companies have ever occupied: both supplier and shareholder to the firms building the software atop its hardware. That arrangement, once mutually reinforcing, now appears increasingly tangled.

The company declined to elaborate beyond its previous statements. A spokesperson directed reporters to comments from Nvidia's fourth-quarter earnings call, where Huang described the company's venture activity as being "focused very squarely, strategically on expanding and deepening our ecosystem reach."

That mission, he argued at the time, has largely been accomplished through earlier stakes in OpenAI and Anthropic, each of which became cornerstone customers for Nvidia's chips.

Yet the relationships that once looked symbiotic now raise questions. When Nvidia floated the idea last September of investing up to $100 billion in OpenAI, many in the market saw circular logic rather than strategic alignment, prompting speculation that the AI sector's capital cycle has turned self-referential.

By the time Nvidia finalized its portion of OpenAI's latest $110 billion funding round last week, its actual contribution had shrunk to about $30 billion. Analysts interpreted that cutback as less a financial constraint than a signal of reduced appetite for circular commitments. The concern that AI startups and their suppliers are inflating one another's valuations has fueled broader talk of an investment bubble across the industry.

If Nvidia's ties with OpenAI have become opaque, its engagement with Anthropic has been outright fraught. In November, the chipmaker committed roughly $10 billion to the developer of the Claude models, deepening what was then framed as a multi-cloud partnership spanning Google and Microsoft.

But only two months later, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei appeared at the World Economic Forum in Davos and sharply criticized US chipmakers for selling high-performance AI systems to Chinese customers, likening such deals to "selling nuclear weapons to North Korea" – a remark widely read as a veiled jab at Nvidia.

Since then, the fallout has accelerated. In late February, the Trump administration sort of blacklisted Anthropic as a "supply-chain risk," blocking federal agencies and defense contractors from deploying its models although that seems to be an ongoing discussion behind the scenes. The move followed the company's refusal to allow its AI systems to be used for autonomous weapons or domestic surveillance.

Within hours, OpenAI announced a new partnership with the Pentagon – a deal Amodei publicly denounced as "mendacious," arguing that OpenAI had exaggerated the scope of military cooperation. The public response was swift and ironic: Anthropic's Claude app climbed to the top of Apple's free app rankings, displacing ChatGPT after spending months below the top 100, according to Sensor Tower data.

Also read: Nvidia's secret weapon: It's the software, stupid

Huang's comment in San Francisco during this week's conference – that once OpenAI and Anthropic go public, new investment opportunities effectively end – fits a tidy narrative of natural progression. But late-stage investment norms in Silicon Valley suggest otherwise: firms often buy into rounds right up to initial offerings.

That disconnect has led some observers to interpret Nvidia's recent caution as pragmatic retreat rather than procedural timing. With geopolitical pressure mounting, regulatory scrutiny increasing, and AI valuations climbing into the hundreds of billions, the world's most valuable semiconductor company may be deciding that its hardware (and software) advantage is leverage enough.

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Nvidia made $120 BILLION in profit in 2025, and will probably make just as much if not more in 2026. If any bubble is popping or if anybody is going bankrupt, it's not going to be nvidia. AI is here to stay and they are years ahead of competitors. They can't produce enough chips to meet demand.

There are a lot of companies building LLMs right now and trying to pick a winner seems silly. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and the hundreds of other smaller ventures. This move makes perfect sense. Nvidia has won and they don't need to risk money on trying to figure out which of these companies will survive.
 
Nvidia made $120 BILLION in profit in 2025, and will probably make just as much if not more in 2026. If any bubble is popping or if anybody is going bankrupt, it's not going to be nvidia. AI is here to stay and they are years ahead of competitors. They can't produce enough chips to meet demand.

There are a lot of companies building LLMs right now and trying to pick a winner seems silly. OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and the hundreds of other smaller ventures. This move makes perfect sense. Nvidia has won and they don't need to risk money on trying to figure out which of these companies will survive.
You do realise a lot of money for Nvidia is from these companies putting in future orders and Nvidia being able to balance their books on these future returns so people keep investing in the hope of these future profits materialising, and its why they have been circular funding, to ensure the flow of orders keeps going, AI orders keep expanding so they can grow their book, get more funding and have the share price grow and grow....

Until it starts popping because said investors expect returns, maybe not with Nvidia, but an OpenAI, if OpenAI pops because it runs out of money, orders go, share price goes down, returns go down, investors slow the taps, orders are slower to fulfill for the ones they can or are cancelled and it cascades where other AI companies will have issues with the taps as investors see plans change, things get delayed, and their profit outflow continues to not truly see a dime bar share price movements, to which big investors cannot react to easily else the jenga tower starts to really shake the price and cause other effects. Its clear that some of these taps have been turned off if investors are calling for Nvidia to stop burning their money (and its them calling the ultimate shots as a public company) on circular investments, then that goes, its a domino effect, all it takes is for a big player to run out of money, investors to get more adamant on seeing returns and profits on their investments, and investor confidence goes down.
 
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Thanks for the article.

But what stood out to me, or rather almost blinded me, was the ridiculous bright shine on that (fake looking) leather Jacket of his. Man he looks funny.

Had to turn down my monitor brighness to prevent burn in..on IPS LCD.
 
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