Seagate targets 100TB hard drives by 2030 to meet AI storage demands

Alfonso Maruccia

Posts: 1,800   +542
Staff
Holy TB: Training and managing complex AI models requires not only significant computing power but also vast fleets of capable storage devices. Seagate plans to build a new AI-focused business around this need, developing new disk drives with unprecedented storage capacities in the not-so-distant future.

Seagate expects to launch a 100-terabyte hard disk drive by 2030, anticipating that AI companies will require such massive storage for their increasingly complex chatbots and generative AI services. According to B.S. Teh, who oversees Seagate's global commercial strategy development and operations, there will soon be considerable demand for extremely large drives based on proven magnetic storage technology.

Currently, Seagate's largest hard drive is the 36TB Exos M model, introduced earlier this year. The company has recently invested heavily in advancing HDD-based solutions to keep increasing storage capacity. Seagate is a major proponent of heat-assisted magnetic recording (HAMR), a technology that boosts data density by using a laser diode attached to each recording head to increase the number of bits stored on a magnetic surface.

Seagate is also pursuing additional breakthroughs, including NVMe-based HDDs aimed at significantly improving the reliability and sustainability of storage systems in enterprise and data center environments.

Like Nvidia and many other tech companies today, Seagate now brands itself as an "AI company," signaling where it believes the money is – or will be – in the coming years.

"A key element to enjoying surging revenues in the AI industry is providing the storage capacity AI companies need," Teh stated in a recent interview. "Nothing matches hard disk drives in meeting this growing demand." The 70-year-old HDD technology remains well-suited for the anticipated boom in AI data centers, even as analysts and NGOs raise concerns about the environmental and energy impacts of this trend.

The International Energy Agency estimates that a single ChatGPT query consumes up to 2.9 watt-hours of power, while a simple Google search is nearly 10 times more efficient. Seagate is addressing environmental concerns by focusing on factors it can influence through its business and manufacturing practices.

Newer hard disk drives are designed to either lower power consumption per terabyte or increase data density. As customers integrate these drives into their data centers, Teh suggested they will benefit from reduced space, energy, and resource requirements. Additionally, Seagate is working to reduce the environmental footprint of its manufacturing plants by incorporating renewable energy sources.

Permalink to story:

 
I love releases like this... "xx company targets XX by 20xx"...
No one ever remembers them by the time that year comes around, and even if they somehow DO remember, there are always convenient excuses - not to mention the person doing the promising has probably left the company long ago...

I'm targeting 500Exabyte HDDs by 2057... prove me wrong :)
 
Nice, now if someone ever invents actual AI to store on them, the drives will be ready.
 
It would be cool if they could find a way to last these drives much longer.
You cannot trust an HDD your data these, you absolutely must use raid.
And it does not help how insanely expensive drives are. I was considering
refurbished when I was shopping for drives for NAS. And I am glad I still
got new drives with warranty. Only one year of use and one of the Exos drives
died. That thing was 260 bucks new. The most amazing thing about HDDs is not
their capacity, but how unreliable they are.
 
I love releases like this... "xx company targets XX by 20xx"...
No one ever remembers them by the time that year comes around, and even if they somehow DO remember, there are always convenient excuses - not to mention the person doing the promising has probably left the company long ago...

I'm targeting 500Exabyte HDDs by 2057... prove me wrong :)

Oh, I will definitely remember...
 
I love releases like this... "xx company targets XX by 20xx"...
No one ever remembers them by the time that year comes around, and even if they somehow DO remember, there are always convenient excuses - not to mention the person doing the promising has probably left the company long ago...

I'm targeting 500Exabyte HDDs by 2057... prove me wrong :)
Seagate is notorious for these claims. I dont see most others making them. I asked ChatGPT to summarize these so take the validity of the following with as much grain of salt as you take Seagate's own claims:

Code:
Seagate HDD Capacity Roadmap: Claims vs. Reality
Year    Claimed Capacity    Target Year    Status    Notes
2017    20TB    2019    Partially Achieved    Seagate began shipping 20TB HAMR drives in December 2020 to select enterprise customers, slightly behind the 2019 target.
2017    40TB    2023    Not Achieved    As of May 2025, Seagate has released 36TB drives, with 40TB drives projected for 2026.
2017    100TB    ~2030    On Track    Seagate plans to launch 100TB HDDs by 2030, driven by demand from AI and HPC markets.
2019    50TB    2026    On Track    Seagate's roadmap indicates plans for 50TB drives by 2026, with 50TB drives currently in development.
2021    ~50TB    2026    On Track    Reiterated plans for 50TB drives by 2026.
2021    120+ TB    Post-2030    On Track    Long-term projection for 120TB+ HDDs after 2030.
2023    30TB+    2023    Achieved    Seagate began shipping 32TB HAMR drives in 2023 to select customers.
2024    40TB    2026–2027    On Track    40TB drives are projected for 2026–2027.
2024    50TB    End of decade    On Track    50TB drives are projected for the end of the decade.
2025    100TB    2030    On Track    Reaffirmed plans for 100TB drives by 2030.

20TB by 2019 was fail as first commercially available drives with that size began shipping only in December 2021. Nearly 3 years later than promised.
40TB drives were obviously not achieved by 2023 either as we're in 2025 (and half) and the biggest commercially available HDD is 28TB. Most are 26TB max.
50TB by 2026 will obviously be missed because there is no way to double current maximum HDD size in ~1,5 years. 50TB by the end of the decade? No even that wont materialize at it would require advancement rate of 4TB per year where as current rate is at best 2TB per 2 years.

So I can conclude that Seagate is full of baloney sausage...
 
Back