SSDs are about to get a lot cheaper as NAND prices plummet

midian182

Posts: 8,309   +103
Staff member
In a nutshell: We all know that graphics card prices are the lowest they've been in years, but they might not be the only PC hardware to see substantial price drops. A report claims solid-state drive prices could be about to fall as NAND flash pricing plummets by up to 35%.

Analyst firm TrendForce writes that its latest investigation shows the NAND flash market failed to experience its usual peak-season surge in demand. The lack of demand has led to an excess of factory inventory that's reached "breaking point," and manufacturers are bottoming out pricing in order to make a deal.

TrendForce has now revised its NAND flash wafer contract prices from the original decline of 15-20% to a drop of 30-35% for the third quarter. That should be good news for those looking to add some new storage to their PCs, as consumer SSDs are expected to become cheaper as a result.

Like many other industries, the NAND flash market is feeling a post-lockdown hangover. Manufacturers couldn't meet consumers' enormous demand for electronic goods during the height of the pandemic, so they started an aggressive period of expansion while increasing the output of 128+ layer technologies.

But demand for laptops, smartphones, PC, and other products fell off a cliff in recent times as consumers became wary of making non-essential purchases due to the shaky economy, high energy prices, and rising inflation, leading to a glut of excess stock.

TrendForce writes that, looking forward to the fourth quarter, manufacturers are preparing to maintain their market share at all costs, making the oversupply situation even worse. It believes that as a result, Q4 2022 NAND flash wafer pricing could decline by another 20%.

Precisely when the market will correct itself is anyone's guess. TrendForce believes consumer purchasing attitudes will remain conservative in 2023, which could hamper the industry's recovery.

The bottom line is that if you're eying up a new SATA or NVMe SSD, it's probably a good idea to wait a while—until the fourth quarter, if possible, when prices should hit their lowest point—before buying.

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takaozo

Posts: 398   +618
"SSDs are about to get a lot cheaper"

I belive that when I see it.

"We all know that graphics card prices are the lowest they've been in years"

You meant the las two years maybe?

BTW NV Gpu cards are still 10-40% above MSRP where I live. Only AMD are below MSRP because nobody wants them.
But both are 2 years old tech.
 

fps4ever

Posts: 1,099   +1,786
Good, I will definitely be looking for a new NvME drive and more memory this holiday season. New or used graphic card's are still a bit pricey for me.
 

R00sT3R

Posts: 744   +2,303
Good, these things have been absurdly overpriced for years.

Manufacturers still price these things like they're still some kind of exotic, expensive to manufacture new technology rather than the now mainstream products they are, especially once you get over the 1TB capacity.

 

Bullwinkle M

Posts: 812   +743
Good, these things have been absurdly overpriced for years.

Manufacturers still price these things like they're still some kind of exotic, expensive to manufacture new technology rather than the now mainstream products they are, especially once you get over the 1TB capacity.

No, SSD's have been reasonably priced for the past year

Example:
A decent Windows XP compatible 7200RPM Laptop Hard Drive from Western Digital was the WD5000BEKT
The lowest price you ever saw for this 500GB hard drive was a sale price of $50 @ Newegg 10 years ago
You can get a used one for more than $80 or allegedly a new one on Ebay for $113

A Windows XP compatible SATA Western Digital SSD however is $49 new @ Amazon

If prices drop by even 25%, I'd grab several more!

You will never find a "NEW" XP compatible hard drive for less than a quality XP compatible SSD in todays market
 

passwordistaco

Posts: 409   +944
No, SSD's have been reasonably priced for the past year

Example:
A decent Windows XP compatible 7200RPM Laptop Hard Drive from Western Digital was the WD5000BEKT
The lowest price you ever saw for this 500GB hard drive was a sale price of $50 @ Newegg 10 years ago
You can get a used one for more than $80 or allegedly a new one on Ebay for $113

A Windows XP compatible SATA Western Digital SSD however is $49 new @ Amazon

If prices drop by even 25%, I'd grab several more!

You will never find a "NEW" XP compatible hard drive for less than a quality XP compatible SSD in todays market

I think he meant NVMe, not SATA SSDs. NVMe has still been $130+ per TB for fast 1-2TB drives. Need anything over 2TB? Bend over and spread your wallet.
 

TheRealSCDC

Posts: 446   +762
Same headlines about video cards, and it never happened. Do you think Samsung will lower their prices? Nope, just make more profit.
 

waclark

Posts: 699   +445
I think he meant NVMe, not SATA SSDs. NVMe has still been $130+ per TB for fast 1-2TB drives. Need anything over 2TB? Bend over and spread your wallet.
I just bought a SK Hynix 2TB M.2 Gen4 drive for $220.89, It's back to $259, but there was a coupon for 15% off, hence the lower price.

I'm seeing prices on computer parts fluctuate nearly daily. I built a spreadsheet for 3 different builds and went online to find lowest prices. In most cases, the prices have gone up, not down. Only a few dollars here and there, but it adds anywhere from $25-100 per build.

I'm still waiting on this great GPU price drop everyone has been predicting. I'm not holding my breath though.
 

Looiplooi

Posts: 8   +42
I have a GTX 1660 super. got it long before pandemic. currently in South Africa it is still a way better price than it is now.

As far as NAND... I love Crucial. 1 drive fail (out of more than I remember ) only and within 24 hrs. cannot ask for more reliability. Price is great too and easy cloning.

Better prices should be good. HDD are relics
 

Hodor

Posts: 230   +165
I remember watching a documentary series where they said that by the year 2000 we'll all living in fully automated houses, we'll travel in flying cars and all the diseases will be exterminated. Now.... maybe it was a typo. Maybe they meant "by the year 3000". What does that have in common with cheaper SSDs? Hmmmm...
 

TheBigFatClown

Posts: 1,050   +445
"SSDs are about to get a lot cheaper"

I belive that when I see it.

"We all know that graphics card prices are the lowest they've been in years"

You meant the las two years maybe?

BTW NV Gpu cards are still 10-40% above MSRP where I live. Only AMD are below MSRP because nobody wants them.
But both are 2 years old tech.

Are you on crack my good sir? If nobody wants AMD GPUs then they aren't doing their due dilligence when it comes to researching the 'best bang for the buck'.

My personal journey began when I purchased an NVidia RTX 2060 most recently. But as I do with many purchases, I did research on the card post purchase and decided to send it back without ever having even opened after doing some benchmark comparisons against an AMD Radeon RX 6600/XT range of cards.

The NVidia RTX 2060 get's left in the dust trails of the comparably priced AMD Radeon RX 6600/XT cards. It's actually embarassing to admit that I owned this card, as it sat in its box for a couple of weeks.

I sent it back and have decided to go with an AMD Radeon RX 6600/XT or 6650. The prices are great right now.

Fanboys need to stop being fanboys and look at actual data...for Godsake. I jump fences all the time and have no regrets about it whatsoever.
 

BadThad

Posts: 1,217   +1,477
CRASH! Starting with the over-priced nvme drives. I would image they are cheaper than SATA SSD's to manufacture but consistently higher in price. All they are is a PCB with some chips.
 

takaozo

Posts: 398   +618
Are you on crack my good sir? If nobody wants AMD GPUs then they aren't doing their due dilligence when it comes to researching the 'best bang for the buck'.

My personal journey began when I purchased an NVidia RTX 2060 most recently. But as I do with many purchases, I did research on the card post purchase and decided to send it back without ever having even opened after doing some benchmark comparisons against an AMD Radeon RX 6600/XT range of cards.

The NVidia RTX 2060 get's left in the dust trails of the comparably priced AMD Radeon RX 6600/XT cards. It's actually embarassing to admit that I owned this card, as it sat in its box for a couple of weeks.

I sent it back and have decided to go with an AMD Radeon RX 6600/XT or 6650. The prices are great right now.

Fanboys need to stop being fanboys and look at actual data...for Godsake. I jump fences all the time and have no regrets about it whatsoever.
First, I'm not on crack because it's illegal here.

Second I have some friends in retail e-stores here, this is where I have my data about Radeons sales in my country.

And since my past experience with the Red team starting Ati 7500, X1300, X1600, HD7850, R260, RX570, RX5600......had nothig to say but.....excelent hardware and crappy drivers for me.
Had a lot of NV along the way starting with TNT2, GF2 GTS, GF3 TI 200, GF4 4200, 6600 GT, 9800 GT, GTX260, GTX560 TI, 1060 6Gb and now a RTX 2060. What I can say Green team had also their issues, but at least I dont have to reinstall windows to get the drivers working as for Red team.

P.S. maybe if I were allowed legally to get crack, then I should buy another RX card
 

TheBigFatClown

Posts: 1,050   +445
First, I'm not on crack because it's illegal here.

Second I have some friends in retail e-stores here, this is where I have my data about Radeons sales in my country.

And since my past experience with the Red team starting Ati 7500, X1300, X1600, HD7850, R260, RX570, RX5600......had nothig to say but.....excelent hardware and crappy drivers for me.
Had a lot of NV along the way starting with TNT2, GF2 GTS, GF3 TI 200, GF4 4200, 6600 GT, 9800 GT, GTX260, GTX560 TI, 1060 6Gb and now a RTX 2060. What I can say Green team had also their issues, but at least I dont have to reinstall windows to get the drivers working as for Red team.

P.S. maybe if I were allowed legally to get crack, then I should buy another RX card
Quite the opposite. We're you to purchase an Radeon RX 66XX/XT series card you would show yourself to be a person of rational thought and sound mind who spends his money wisely.
 

takaozo

Posts: 398   +618
Quite the opposite. We're you to purchase an Radeon RX 66XX/XT series card you would show yourself to be a person of rational thought and sound mind who spends his money wisely.
I have other expenses to think of right now, winter incoming and gas and electric energy prices. I think I will wait for next annual bonus next April and get fresh hardware, not 2 years old. I know the price looks good now... but winter, war next to our border, energy......GPU can wait.

Maybe if I can convince my wife to heat up the house with GPU's this winter :)
 

yannus

Posts: 107   +95
"SSDs are about to get a lot cheaper"

I belive that when I see it.

"We all know that graphics card prices are the lowest they've been in years"

You meant the las two years maybe?

BTW NV Gpu cards are still 10-40% above MSRP where I live. Only AMD are below MSRP because nobody wants them.
But both are 2 years old tech.
If nobody wants them, why is AMD still profitable ? Also linux users prefer by far AMD cards. Finally, Ngreedia doesn't need fanboys, but users need more competition.
 

takaozo

Posts: 398   +618
If nobody wants them, why is AMD still profitable ? Also linux users prefer by far AMD cards. Finally, Ngreedia doesn't need fanboys, but users need more competition.
Because you forgot the coin miners maybe.

Also let me break it down to you, for a GPU card.

A 300$ card on release day:
150 $ the GPU itself - production cost 100$ per die + 50$ profit
80$ the PCB and rest of the compoments
20$ the cooler and fans
40$ the AIB + store profit
10$ shipping costs
Local VAT !!!

if the product do not sale the store ask AIB for discount and the AIB ask GPU spupplier for a discount. For higher volumes the higher the discount.

For a 300$ card after 2 years in production those component prices will be less than half. Same applies to rest of the goods including cars.

Now why on earth should I buy 2 year old tech card at original MSRP?
To give all supply chain their profits like day one?
If the last two years had been 500-1000% scalped prices, after 2 years a MSRP price should make me happy?