Are we reaching the limits of homegrown silicon?

Jay Goldberg

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Staff

Last month, big news emerged from China's semiconductor industry: Oppo announced it was largely disbanding its Zeku chip division. This story may not have received much attention in the US, but we believe it's significant, meriting mention in the broader context of non-chip companies designing their own chips. We've long discussed this topic as more and more companies attempt the feat. Does Oppo's move signify a turning point? Will we see more companies abandoning these projects?

First, some background. Due to a variety of reasons, the past decade's economic landscape has enabled large chip consumers to enter the market of chip design. Well-known examples include Apple's M-Series CPU and Google's TPU AI accelerator, but there are many more.

Editor's Note:
Guest author Jonathan Goldberg is the founder of D2D Advisory, a multi-functional consulting firm. Jonathan has developed growth strategies and alliances for companies in the mobile, networking, gaming, and software industries.

This trend extends beyond big tech companies to the likes of John Deere and Wi-Fi access point maker, TP Link. Our thesis is that companies only undertake this when the chip conveys some form of strategic advantage; designing a chip solely for minor cost-saving is not a profitable proposition. Google, for instance, saves billions in capital expenditure because of its chips, while Apple's chips drive better device performance resulting in tens of billions of incremental sales.

A list of companies designing their own chips

Alibaba Microsoft
Amazon NTT DoCoMo
Apple Oppo
Baidu Samsung
Byte Dance Seagate
China Mobile SK Telecom
Cisco Tencent
Facebook Tesla
Ford TP Link
Fujitsu Vivo
Google Western Digital
Hitachi Xiaomi
John Deere ZTE
Korea Telecom  

This brings us to Oppo, a company in the challenging position of competing against Apple. Apple has its own Applications Processor (AP) for its phones, conferring a significant competitive advantage. This advantage comes at the expense of Oppo and its peers. Consequently, the rationale for designing their own chip is sound, but somewhere along the line, something went wrong.

Reports from the Chinese press indicate that Oppo didn't achieve the results it anticipated, despite the enormous expense of their endeavor. From what we can gather, Oppo wasn't designing a complete AP; instead, they focused on a sub-system, likely around imaging, which they deemed critical. Despite substantial investment in their chip, they didn't see any significant market response and lost further share to Apple and domestic competitors.

We suspect Oppo hasn't completely abandoned the project but has definitely scaled back its ambitions. Furthermore, Oppo has an insurance policy built into their plans. Oppo is owned by the BBK Group which also owns Vivo, RealMe and a handful of other brands. While these companies ostensibly operate independently, they share engineering resources on technical matters. Internal group dynamics are speculative at best, but if Vivo successfully designs its own chip, Oppo could likely source it from them at some cost.

In summary, while Oppo's situation highlights a specific set of circumstances that may not lead others to abandon their chip development efforts, it does point to the limits of this model. Designing a chip is still expensive, and there are probably only a few hundred companies worldwide that can afford it. More importantly, Oppo's case underscores the critical role of software.

In simple terms, Apple controls its software, Oppo does not, it runs Android. Consequently, many benefits Apple enjoys from its A-series chips are unavailable to Oppo. This obstacle, more than any other, likely hindered Oppo. This is going to be a problem for other handset makers as well, but is less relevant to many of the other companies on that list above.

Oppo has largely given up designing its own chips, but they faced a very specific set of challenges which do not apply to many of the others looking to roll their own semis. So while we think there are limits to who will design their own chips, there is likely still room for others to enter the mix.

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"A list of companies designing their own chips" doesn't include AMD, Intel, nor nVidia, so three of the biggest?
 
"A list of companies designing their own chips" doesn't include AMD, Intel, nor nVidia, so three of the biggest?

A good argument can be made - but I think this list is for end users in their very specific products.
Probably not complete anyway.

But when you think of all the huge tech giants in the world

Suppose also means cutting edge - not just some big eprom - or simple robot control SOC who knows

I mean Sony designs sensors - you would think they would do a purposeful SOC to go with it - maybe not
Suppose for telcos - the stuff is hard so that's why you have ciscos etc

Lots of companies must put together a whole package of processors - maybe even in novel ways - but this won't count here

Also list probably does not reflect collaborations with these designer companies- say with an ARM chip for example
 
"Google, for instance, saves billions in capital expenditure because of its chips"

Huh??? Which ? Considering the cost of development in recent manufacturing processes, I'd say it's a huge risk to try to make your own chips rather than just buying from a third party.
 
"Google, for instance, saves billions in capital expenditure because of its chips"

Huh??? Which ? Considering the cost of development in recent manufacturing processes, I'd say it's a huge risk to try to make your own chips rather than just buying from a third party.
For example, they save millions from their custom video-transcoding chips which they use for youtube servers (and other transcoding workloads)

quote:
Google's Jeff Calow said the Argos chip has brought "up to 20-33x improvements in compute efficiency compared to our previous optimized system, which was running software on traditional servers."

Another chip is their TPU for AI tasks.

quote:
For certain workloads, “the TPU reduces the number of data centers they have to build by 50%,” Goldberg said. “At $1 billion a pop, that’s a lot of savings.” While saving money on data center construction, it also gave Google Cloud something it could offer that Microsoft Azure and AWS didn’t have at the time.
 
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