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Black Friday predictions: 4K TV prices will be almost as cheap as 1080p

By Julio Franco ยท 10 replies
Sep 22, 2017
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  1. Of all the items that go on sale during Black Friday, perhaps none are more anticipated than TVs. And with good reason! Retailers consistently drop television prices to draw in shoppers, and we routinely see the best offers of the year. Even so, we expect Black Friday 2017 to stand out, with lower TV prices than we've ever seen before.

    So what can you expect from Black Friday TV deals? We've created a "cheat sheet" with the top tips you need to know when shopping. Savvy consumers who want more information should scroll down for our in-depth analysis.

    After reading our tips, consider signing up for the DealNews Select newsletter to keep track of the latest deals in your inbox, or download our app to have them at your fingertips.

    The Cheat Sheet: Black Friday TV Predictions

    Prices to Expect

    • 32" 720p/1080p
      Doorbuster: $70
      Average Price: $100
    • 39"/40" 1080p
      Doorbuster: $109
      Average Off-Brand Price: $150
      Average Brand-Name Price: $180
    • 39"/40" 4K
      Doorbuster: $170
      Average Off-Brand Price: $189
      Average Brand-Name Price: $240
    • 42"/43" 1080p
      Doorbuster: $180
      Average Off-Brand Price: $180
      Average Brand-Name Price: $240
    • 49"/50" 1080p
      Doorbuster: $179
      Average Off-Brand Price: $200
      Average Brand-Name Price: $299
    • 49"/50" 4K
      Doorbuster: $210
      Average Off-Brand Price: $230
      Average Brand-Name Price: $420
    • 55" 1080p
      Doorbuster: $239
      Average Off-Brand Price: $260
      Average Brand-Name Price: $320
    • 55" 4K
      Doorbuster: $239
      Average Off-Brand Price: $280
      Average Brand-Name Price: $500
    • 60" 1080p
      Doorbuster: $330
      Average Brand-Name Price: $350
    • 60" 4K
      Doorbuster: $429
      Average Brand-Name Price: $589
    • 65" 4K
      Doorbuster: $450
      Average Off-Brand Price: $470
      Average Brand-Name Price: $970
    • 70" 4K
      Doorbuster: $879
      Average Brand-Name Price: $1,069

    5 Quick Tips You Need to Know

    • You're likely to see prices on 4K TVs that are nearly as low — and perhaps even as low — as those for 1080p TVs of the same size.
    • Shop early! Expect to see great deals on Thanksgiving, as well as the days leading up to it.
    • If you're shopping for a very large TV, look for a deal that includes a gift card.
    • Be realistic. Don't expect to nab an outrageous doorbuster deal, as stock is frequently in short supply.
    • Consider going off-brand. If your budget is tight, off-brand sets of all sizes can be had for considerably less than a name-brand TV.

    Want more details on how, what, where, and when to buy TV deals this Black Friday? Then check out our full analysis below.

    What to Buy

    Prepare for Unprecedented 4K Price Lows

    While last year we saw a plethora of 4K televisions at very affordable prices, we anticipate those prices will drop even lower this year. In fact, it's possible that in some size categories, 4K TVs could actually match their 1080p counterparts. So even if you don't want a 4K TV, there may not be a reason to buy a 1080p TV anymore.

    Get a 55" 4K TV for the Price of a 55" 1080p TV

    Prices on 4K TVs have dropped so low that this year they may actually match their 1080p counterparts in at least one size category: 55". With off-brand prices frequently dipping below $300, 55" TVs have become ubiquitous among the deals we see every week. Come Black Friday, we think doorbuster prices on off-brand 55" 4K sets will hit $239 — and 1080p doorbusters will cost the same.

    The average off-brand 55" 4K TV deal during Black Friday will cost just 8% more than its 1080p counterparts.

    On average, we expect off-brand 4K TVs to cost just 8% more. Brand-name sets won't come as cheap, but you should still see prices of $500 or less, which was unheard of just two years ago.

    Supersize Your Set

    Where once it took a king's ransom to buy a king-size 4K TV, prices on bigger sets have plummeted — like those of their smaller brethren. And though some may argue to the contrary, to truly appreciate ultra high-def resolution, one needs a big TV. Expect doorbuster prices on 60" and 65" 4K TVs to drop under $500, while 70" sets will be easily had for under $1,000.

    Snag Brand-Name 40" 4K for Next to Nothing

    With larger sets having become the de facto go-to size for many buyers, smaller midsize options can yield big savings. Naturally, the smaller the screen, the smaller the price, but there are some sizes where the savings are proportionately greater.

    Believe it or not, 60" and 65" 4K sets will be priced under $500, while a 40" 4K TV will drop to $240.

    One spec set that stands out is name-brand 40" 4K TVs. We're predicting an average price of $240, which is just $50 more than an off-brand TV, and nearly $200 less than a 50" name-brand 4K TV. And of course, that's just an average price, so it's quite possible we'll see doorbusters in the $200 range.

    When to Shop

    Buy a TV on Turkey Day

    While Black Friday is known for having incredible TV deals (and this year should be no different), last year we saw a greater number of Editors' Choice deals on Thanksgiving. That doesn't mean you have to give up spending time with family; just be sure to find out when stores are dropping the TV deals you want. (Or let us tell you! Set up a deal alert so you'll know exactly when they go live.) If you don't find the TV you want on Thanksgiving, there will be plenty more deals on Black Friday — and Cyber Monday will have its fair share, too.

    When it comes to TV deals, it never hurts to start shopping early; we saw Black Friday-caliber prices as early as November 10 last year.

    That said, it never hurts to start shopping early. Be on the lookout for Black Friday-caliber deals as early as November 10. Last year, that's when we saw a 70" 4K drop below $1,000 for the first time ever, and Walmart offered up an all-time low on a 55" 4K TV.

    Where to Shop

    Last year, there was a clear winner in the Black Friday TV price wars: Best Buy. The big box store had more Editors' Choice deals than nearly all of its competitors. In fact, it had more than twice as many as Walmart. And while Dell did have more Editors' Choice mentions, Best Buy had better outright prices.

    Dell was the only store to have more Editors' Choice TV deals than Best Buy last year. However, those deals almost always hinged on the inclusion of a gift card. If you're able to make use of a Dell gift card with a second purchase from the retailer down the line, these are the TV deals to watch in 2017. Otherwise, you're better off looking for lower outright prices elsewhere.

    Stephen Slaybaugh is a senior staff writer at dealnews. Republished with permission.

    Permalink to story.

  2. MoeJoe

    MoeJoe Banned Posts: 837   +441

    That's because the 3D horse power has been removed.
  3. Nobina

    Nobina TS Evangelist Posts: 1,840   +1,351

    People still buy TVs?
  4. Spudnation

    Spudnation TS Rookie

    Sadly Black Friday deals aren't nearly as good in Canada. I'm still rocking a 40in Sharp Aquos from 2009 (in a condo living room though). Might need to make a trip to Trumpland to get me a new Television!
  5. amstech

    amstech IT Overlord Posts: 2,143   +1,308

    Black Friday online deals are 90% buIIsh!t.
    Prices might be a few bucks cheaper, that's about it.

    Only deals are surplus in store items that you need to actually go there and get yourself.
  6. Greg S

    Greg S TS Evangelist Posts: 1,607   +443

    I am shopping for a 4k TV and will be gambling on Black Friday deals.

    A good tip is that many credit cards offer price matching on deals if you buy with your card a few days in advance and then get the same price of Black Friday. A hassle for sure but it works.
  7. kapital98

    kapital98 TS Maniac Posts: 321   +246

    Absolutely. Online retailers just label 'Black Friday' to almost everything they have in stock. Even if it's a penny discount. They know that the label will sell more.

    You can occasionally find decent online Black Friday deals but, for the most part, it's only worth buying if you already wanted something and it just happens to be 5-10% off the regular 'sale' price.

    The best way to save on big budget items like TV's is to show up at the store hours early so that you can snag the doorbuster. YMWV according to what you want.
  8. BadThad

    BadThad TS Booster Posts: 181   +91

    Yes, remember the Amazon scandal where the "normal price" was inflated big time to make it seem like the BF price was amazing. Usually the in-store busters are the only hot deals.
  9. sac39507

    sac39507 TS Addict Posts: 243   +88

    I just want a 75" 1080p TV for $200
  10. CaptainTom

    CaptainTom TS Maniac Posts: 403   +211

    I mean this is almost true for monitors as well, hence why I almost only recommend 4K monitors/TV's.

    It's like 20% more money for 400% the resolution. And if you don't use 4K? Doesn't matter because 4K TV's also tend to have superior color, contrast, and features as well. No point in putting the best components in the cheapest products.

    When you buy 1080p you aren't just buying a lower resolution, almost every aspect of the product will be worse.
  11. sac39507

    sac39507 TS Addict Posts: 243   +88

    Honestly, when I sit 8 -10 ft away from the TV, I could hardly notice the difference.

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