Bluescreendeath
Posts: 500 +724
To which tax cuts do you refer? I won't say such proposals haven't existed, but Trumps 2018 tax cuts *raised* government revenues.
The tax cuts that are not only not paired with cutting spending, but for some reason paired with spending increases, which then shoots up the annual deficit...resulting in the national debt growing faster than the economy iself.
Simply raising revenue is easy when you combine cutting taxes and increasing spending - this is a double dose of economic stimulus that increases GDP growth (which leads to a bigger GDP being taxed).
However, raising government revenue while also increasing spending will shoot up the annual deficit (so you are spending more in the red despite getting more tax revenues).
That leads into the other big problem when the national debt grows faster than the GDP.
So despite that revenue increase, deficits and national debt still grew under Trump (but he is not alone in this of course).
For example, the annual deficit in:
2017: 665 billion
2018: 779 billion
2019: 984 billion
(not counting 2020 since COVID is hard to factor in)
Revenue:
2017: 3.32 trillion
2018: 3.33 trillion
2019: 3.46 trillion
From 2017 to 2019, our revenue went up by 140 billion, but our annual deficit went up by 314 billion. So despite that increased revenue, our deficit still went up because of significantly increased spending under Trump 1.
What is worse is our GDP grew slower than our national debt:
2017 GDP: 19.49 trillion
2018 GDP: 20.49 trillion
2019 GDP: 21.35 trillion
2017 National debt: 20.24 trillion
2018 National debt: 21.5 trillion
2019 National debt: 22.7 trillion
So our annual GDP/economy only grew by 1.86 trillion, while our national debt grew by 2.46 trillion.
That means all that tax cuts + spending increases wasn't actually worth it if our debt grows faster than our GDP.
As economics' Laffer Curve teaches us, there comes a point in taxation in which further increases reduce collected revenue, and the US was already well past that point.
I agree that there is a point where too much taxes actually reduces revenue. However, it is debatable whether we ever reached that point, because during the Obama's second term (who had a mix of tax cuts for the middle class and tax increases for the upper class and maybe slightly higher taxes overall), the country still had GDP growth and the growth was better than Trump 1 in terms of growing the GDP to debt ratio.
Eg. National debt 2013 = 16.7 trillion debt,
2014 = 17.8 trillion,
2015 = 18.1 trillion
GDP in 2013 = 16.8 trillion,
2014 = 17.6 trillion,
2015 = 18.2 trillion
Under Obama 2 from 2013 to 2015, debt increased by 1.4 trillion while GDP increased by 1.4 trillion (around the same, or 1:1 ratio).
So Obama's slightly higher taxes (for the upper class) results in 1 to 1 ratio of debt to GDP growth, while Trump's tax cuts + spending increases resulted in a worse 1 to 0.76 ratio debt to GDP growth.
But let's assume we were actually at the point where any tax increases would reduce revenue - there was absolutely no reason to have spending increases alongside tax cuts. They could've just had tax cuts by themselves, and it wouldn't have been nearly as bad for our deficits and debt.
What is the point of increased revenue from tax cuts if we still piss it all away in reckless spending that spikes up our annual deficit and even increase our national debt faster the speed our economy is growing?
Lastly, these types of tax cut stimulus and spending stimulus are both what, a part of Keynesian economics? IIRC, that economics school also said you generally do this tax cut + spending boost combo during a recession to fight the recession (which then increases the national debt), and then when there is an economic boom, you need to raise taxes and cut spending so you can finally pay off that national debt that you've accumulated. So they're ignoring the other half of the policy where you are actually supposed to use austerity to pay off the debt you accumulated from tax cuts + spending stimulus.
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