TeamGroup warns the memory shortage has not reached its peak yet

Alfonso Maruccia

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Facepalm: Major memory manufacturers have repeatedly warned shareholders that the memory industry faces many more years of chaos and high prices. Now even smaller players such as TeamGroup are sounding the same alarm, saying conditions will soon turn brutal for both pricing and availability.

TeamGroup recently shared financial results for its latest quarter. Beyond the soaring figures and shifting market trends, the report highlights the worrisome direction the entire chip industry is heading toward. As it turns out, the worst of the memory shortage is still to come.

According to TeamGroup CEO Chen Ching-wen, prices will keep climbing for many months. The IT industry will endure its worst chip shortage from the final quarter of 2026 through the end of the second quarter next year. For now, customers can still buy chip-based products by paying a premium. Before long, Chen said, people won't be able to buy anything even if they have money to spare.

TeamGroup is a Taiwanese manufacturer operating several brands of computer memory, memory cards, solid state drives, mobile accessories, and other chip-based industrial products. The company relies on the major memory chipmakers for its supply, and those supplies are drying up fast.

Chen said TeamGroup has been trading and signing long-term supply agreements with chipmakers for around 30 years, but nothing about today's market is "traditional" anymore. A "ferocious" price rally is underway, the company confirmed. The contract price of DDR5 16Gb chips was $8.70 in October 2025 and climbed to $48 by September 2026. DDR4 8Gb chips have surged as well, and the spot market is even worse, with a 30% to 50% premium to pay.

"We have contracts but can't get enough volume, so we have to go to the spot market and pay a premium to grab supply," Chen said.

Prices aren't the only disruption TeamGroup highlighted. The company now does most of its business in the B2B market, supplying memory to enterprise customers and industrial control applications. B2B revenue climbed from roughly 24% in the first three quarters of 2025 to 64% in the first three quarters of 2026, while B2C end-consumer revenue fell from 75% to 35% over the same period.

Chen explained that TeamGroup isn't unilaterally changing its strategic positioning, but simply adjusting to massive shifts in demand and customer needs. Most of the industry's DRAM output has now been absorbed by AI data centers and other enterprise-grade applications.

Of course, this AI-driven market upheaval has a silver lining for TeamGroup and other memory makers. In Q3 2026, the Taiwanese company's revenue grew 33% from the previous quarter to NT$10.139 billion (around $311.5 million). Operating profit rose 46.8% to NT$4.511 billion, while net profit after tax went up nearly 50% to NT$3.618 billion.

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A DDR5 chip going from $8.70 to $48 in less than a year is absolutely insane. We're getting dangerously close to a world where the RAM costs more than the CPU, and the GPU costs more than the rest of the PC combined.
 
A DDR5 chip going from $8.70 to $48 in less than a year is absolutely insane. We're getting dangerously close to a world where the RAM costs more than the CPU, and the GPU costs more than the rest of the PC combined.
GPUs are kind of their own PC
 
If I were a memory manufacturer right now, I wouldn't want the money train to stop either. I'm sure they're working night and day to reduce their profit margins as we speak so that every customer gets fair treatment.

I'm sorry I just can't say that with a straight face.
 
warned that the period from Q4 2026 through the end of Q2 2027 will be the worst of the shortage - from linked article

While the reporting keeps calling this new, this is yet another industry insider pointing to summer of 2027 as the peak.

Good news: the peak date, if you look past the headlines, hasn't really shifted.

Bad news: the price recovery will likely be steady but not swift.

Even as supply catches up and data center buildout inevitably slows, it's going to a while for things to get cheap again. Here's hoping for a $1200 6080 by summer 2028.
 
Every time this type of thing happens, a new, higher price plateau is established. RAM prices will never return to where they were before this all started. Same goes for pretty much every other component in our PCs. We'll be lucky if prices ever get down to double what they used to be. The days of affordable PC building are gone for good.
 
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