Anthropic files to go public, and it could be the biggest IPO ever

Julio Franco

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Highly anticipated: Anthropic has officially filed to go public. The Claude maker submitted its S-1 to the SEC on Monday and plans to list on the Nasdaq under the ticker "ANT." The share count and price range are still unknown, but earlier reporting puts the target raise at up to $100 billion, and the listing is expected before Thanksgiving.

Anthropic's filing opens with a letter in which the co-founders say they believe "AI is one of the most consequential technologies in human history." The rest of the 300-plus page document tries to back that claim up with numbers, while also spelling out, at unusual length, how things could go wrong.

Anthropic generated $16.3 billion in revenue in the first half of 2026, up from $1.2 billion a year earlier. The second quarter alone brought in $11.6 billion. The most telling figure from a tech standpoint is this: Q2 revenue grew 1,368% year over year, while compute and infrastructure expenses grew 300%. In other words, serving Claude is getting cheaper much faster than demand is rising.

The company says Claude Opus 5.5 cut customer cost per task by about 40% compared to Opus 5, and by one analyst's math, Anthropic went from selling inference at a loss in late 2025 to earning about $2 for every dollar of compute in Q2.

On paper, Anthropic also lost $80.7 billion in the first half, but that number says more about its soaring valuation than about what it spent. About $72 billion of that comes from investor notes, held by backers like Amazon, that will turn into shares when the company goes public.

As Anthropic's valuation climbed, those future shares became more valuable, and accounting rules require the company to book that increase as a loss, even though no money actually left the building. The cost of running the business itself produced a much smaller $693 million loss.

Largest IPOs in history, by deal size

Rank Company (year) Deal size
1 Anthropic (2026)* ~$100.0B
2 SpaceX (2026) $75.0B
3 SK Hynix (2026) $26.5B
4 Saudi Aramco (2019) $25.6B
5 Alibaba (2014) $21.8B

*Anthropic IPO estimate. Source: Renaissance Capital

Claude's adoption is heavily enterprise-driven. More than 11,900 customers pay Anthropic at least $100,000 a year, about 250 pay more than $10 million, and over half the Fortune 500 is on its client list.

Anthropic says it treats compute as a single pool spread across AWS Trainium, Google TPUs, Nvidia GPUs and AMD GPUs, shifting capacity for research, training, internal use, and customers depending on where it's most productive.

The financial commitments behind that compute pool are enormous, totaling more than $600 billion across many partners and stretching into the 2030s. Google is the largest, with at least $114.5 billion committed plus up to $150 billion more in TPU purchases planned between 2028 and 2031. A lease agreement with Broadcom is worth $161.2 billion, and the SpaceXAI deal for Nvidia GPU capacity runs up to $120.5 billion.

An interesting claim in the S-1 is what Anthropic calls "closing the loop." Claude now helps run experiments, generate training data, automate evaluations and safety audits, and write code for its own successors. The company describes this as one of its biggest structural advantages, but also a risk. Some 94 pages of the filing are dedicated to risk factors, including the possibility that its models could show "self-preserving" behavior.

On the product side, the filing calls Claude Code the clearest example of autonomous AI work so far, noting that NASA engineers used it to plan the first AI-planned drive of the Perseverance rover on Mars. Claude Cowork, which launched as a preview in January, is now being folded into the main Claude app and is being adopted faster than Claude Code was at the same stage.

As for who will run Anthropic after the IPO, the answer is mostly the same people. A single share held by the seven co-founders carries 50.1% of the shareholder vote. Each co-founder holds roughly 240 million shares, worth about $14 billion at the last private round price, and all seven have pledged to give away 80% of their equity, though the filing notes those pledges aren't legally binding.

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I have never wanted an IPO to go so badly before, I want to see execs lose their life savings buying this trash and hurling themselves out of 47th floor office buildings by having the stock rocket up, and then in a sharp turn all the tech-bros sell to make a pile of cash and crash the stock into the low teens/share and RUIN millions of investors lives and destroy hedge funds reputations .. I'd like to the the DOW take a 6000-10000 point crap over three days of frenzied selling as the scumbags desperately try to save some of their blood money ...

Yeah that would be a great pre-xmas present to me.
 
“The most telling figure from a tech standpoint is this: Q2 revenue grew 1,368% year over year, while compute and infrastructure expenses grew 300%. In other words, serving Claude is getting cheaper much faster than demand is rising.”

No… in other words, Claude is getting more expensive - just that the expenses are RISING slower than the profits…

Assuming that continues (and that’s a HUGE assumption), then they’re a sound investment… time will tell…
 
I have never wanted an IPO to go so badly before, I want to see execs lose their life savings buying this trash and hurling themselves out of 47th floor office buildings by having the stock rocket up, and then in a sharp turn all the tech-bros sell to make a pile of cash and crash the stock into the low teens/share and RUIN millions of investors lives and destroy hedge funds reputations .. I'd like to the the DOW take a 6000-10000 point crap over three days of frenzied selling as the scumbags desperately try to save some of their blood money ...

Yeah that would be a great pre-xmas present to me.
Get your pills, looks like you forgot to do that 2 days in row.
 
“The most telling figure from a tech standpoint is this: Q2 revenue grew 1,368% year over year, while compute and infrastructure expenses grew 300%. In other words, serving Claude is getting cheaper much faster than demand is rising.”

No… in other words, Claude is getting more expensive - just that the expenses are RISING slower than the profits…

Assuming that continues (and that’s a HUGE assumption), then they’re a sound investment… time will tell…
I've read or watched online somewhere that They didn't actually grew 1368% percent year over year, but rather, by the way It works, chose a day when They sign good deal and compared It to the day year prior, to fool potential investors. Like, They are allowed to do This under current administration, that They bought. Correct Me please, if I'm wrong.
 
The have a very useful product.

Whether or not it spells the end of humanity depends on how it's used.

Then there's Murphy's Law.
 
The have a very useful product.

Whether or not it spells the end of humanity depends on how it's used.

Then there's Murphy's Law.

They really don’t though. The only reason people are using it is due to it being cheap. Then they have to increase the price to actually become profitable people will stop and the bottom will fall out
 
I have never wanted an IPO to go so badly before, I want to see execs lose their life savings buying this trash and hurling themselves out of 47th floor office buildings by having the stock rocket up, and then in a sharp turn all the tech-bros sell to make a pile of cash and crash the stock into the low teens/share and RUIN millions of investors lives and destroy hedge funds reputations .. I'd like to the the DOW take a 6000-10000 point crap over three days of frenzied selling as the scumbags desperately try to save some of their blood money ...

Yeah that would be a great pre-xmas present to me.

It won’t go badly for the people who own it now unfortunately. It’s everyone else in the US who’s 401K is tied to the stock market who’s going to pay for it. They’re going to float a massive white elephant, take in their billions and let the public take the loss.
 
These are not IPO.
These are PONZI SCHEMES.
Early investors want their money on the way out and suckering the market into buying into a business that "shows no profit" while simultaneously losing money is the warning that you're about to be a bag holder.

Based purley on HYPE and FOMO.

Ask Space X investors when they'll see $225 again. Anyone who bought in over $180 is now an official bag holder for Musk.

I typically buy stock splits but this is an IPO they can keep.
 
Looks like CEO's want to regain the money they've dumped into this AI stuff.
We all know how it will end. The common man will get screwed because they
buy into it.
 
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