System builders are panic-buying memory, and it could spark a chip shortage through 2027

Alfonso Maruccia

Posts: 2,511   +935
Staff
Facepalm: After consuming virtually the entire GPU market, generative AI and large language models are now putting pressure on DRAM and other mainstream memory products. Consumers are likely to feel the impact, while memory manufacturers stand to reap substantial profits. From both a market and pricing standpoint, the next few months could be extremely interesting.

According to industry insiders, system manufacturers such as Asus and MSI are "aggressively" stockpiling memory chips. A recent DigiTimes report indicates that system integrators and hardware vendors will likely continue overspending on memory throughout the fourth quarter, potentially pushing the industry toward yet another chip shortage lasting into 2027.

Prices for DRAM products have already surged, and the outlook for 2026 appears even worse. Major consumer-focused tech companies are effectively racing one another to build the largest possible inventory, while the data center sector is securing the lion's share of the global memory supply.

As many have noted, massive investments in AI data centers are the primary driver behind these market pressures. These next-generation facilities are soaking up supply for high-performance memory such as HBM and RDIMM, prompting the world's largest memory manufacturers to reorganize their operations in response.

Foundry companies are increasingly focusing on the most lucrative memory products, even converting manufacturing lines originally designed for DRAM production. Unsurprisingly, they have reported record revenues over the past few months – one of the few instances in which the AI boom has generated tangible profits for industry players.

The ongoing "memory crunch" is significant enough that manufacturers are adjusting release schedules for upcoming products. Kits initially expected in the final quarter of 2025 are now slated for release next year. SK hynix recently confirmed that its entire memory capacity – including DRAM, NAND Flash, and HBM – is already sold out through at least late 2026.

Taiwanese integrators typically rely on dedicated contracts with memory manufacturers, which provides some stability for the consumer hardware market. However, companies are increasingly turning to the spot market, exposing themselves to higher price volatility. This trend exacerbates pricing pressure and could further impact retail customers.

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You know things are getting stupid when the price to upgrade the memory in a Macbook Air, Macbook Pro, or any other Apple product will be cheaper than buying a memory kit in a store.

I swear to God that if things keep going the way they are, I'm going to get a Mac and forget about it.
 
I'm so tired hearing of these "shortages" with everything. Fix the damn supply chain. Anticipate the demand, increase capacity. I know that's easier said than done, but whatever excuses they come up with, even high demand are getting old. After years and years of this crap it seems more like intentional negligence of the production capacity and supply chain.
 
Y'all keep cursing the soviets, but at least you could bribe or "kindly" ask your fellow co-op market "tovarisch director" to keep a couple of "deficits" product under the bar, for a normal price
 
You know things are getting stupid when the price to upgrade the memory in a Macbook Air, Macbook Pro, or any other Apple product will be cheaper than buying a memory kit in a store.

I swear to God that if things keep going the way they are, I'm going to get a Mac and forget about it.
If you think Apple and other OEMs won't get hit by the DRAM squeeze like everyone else and price accordingly... And even if they aren't getting squeezed, they'll still price like they are.
 
Y'all keep cursing the soviets, but at least you could bribe or "kindly" ask your fellow co-op market "tovarisch director" to keep a couple of "deficits" product under the bar, for a normal price
"normal" pricing, LOL. Normal for the Soviets perhaps. Not normal under any Western definition though.
I'm so tired hearing of these "shortages" with everything. Fix the damn supply chain. Anticipate the demand, increase capacity. I know that's easier said than done, but whatever excuses they come up with, even high demand are getting old. After years and years of this crap it seems more like intentional negligence of the production capacity and supply chain.
Eh? The chian isnt broken, it's working as intended. The Memory cartel has been hit multiple times with lawsuits over their behavior. These shortages are entirely intentional to bolster their end of year profit margins. Somebody wants to cash out his shares, and we will pay the price.

Alternatively, the cartel wants to maximize the profits from the incestuous AI market before it utterly collapses on itself, which would be based if it wasnt also being applied to us.
 
I'm just waiting for the story to break that "AI" robots will be given the ability to eat and crap so they'll be using up all the toilet paper to wipe their arse and all the extreme re tards out there will run and buy up all the TP!
 
"normal" pricing, LOL. Normal for the Soviets perhaps. Not normal under any Western definition though.
You cannot compare those two systems, they're completely different in basics, you can't even compare the income-per-capita of the two. Only thing you could compare is quality of general goods, which was far worse in union and far better in the west, both quality and quantity wise, due to state subsidies and governmental corporate control, absence of competition, planned economy with smaller capacity - it was a vicious circle of inefficiency, not just one issue.

But now, after soviet's economy died of poison by innefective corrupted cleptocrats, "freedom" people economy is poisoned by big corpos... Have a feeling there's one little boy Xi giggling right now, somewhere
 
Sounds more like an investment opportunity...buy everything you can on black friday/monday sales, and resell later just before the economy collapses.
 
I'm so tired hearing of these "shortages" with everything. Fix the damn supply chain. Anticipate the demand, increase capacity. I know that's easier said than done, but whatever excuses they come up with, even high demand are getting old. After years and years of this crap it seems more like intentional negligence of the production capacity and supply chain.
Bruh, you forget we are living in capitalism, more specifically late stage/savage capitalism? They increase the price for every real and manufactured reason by intention, purpose and design.
 
Ram prices are insane, especially older DDR4 RAM, the 256gb of ram I bought for my server last year was 200 bucks on ebay, now its 400 or even 500 bucks for the exact same ram because all the server farms are hungry for RAM for AI, combine that with the very cartel like behaviour of the memory manufacturers around production, and its a mess
 
Bruh, you forget we are living in capitalism, more specifically late stage/savage capitalism? They increase the price for every real and manufactured reason by intention, purpose and design.
Ah yes, "late stage capitalism", the favorite buzzword of Reddit.

Savage capitalism is a new one though. Perhaps because they had enough of people pointing out that mafias, cartels, and price fixing also happened under socialism?
You cannot compare those two systems, they're completely different in basics, you can't even compare the income-per-capita of the two. Only thing you could compare is quality of general goods, which was far worse in union and far better in the west, both quality and quantity wise, due to state subsidies and governmental corporate control, absence of competition, planned economy with smaller capacity - it was a vicious circle of inefficiency, not just one issue.

But now, after soviet's economy died of poison by innefective corrupted cleptocrats, "freedom" people economy is poisoned by big corpos... Have a feeling there's one little boy Xi giggling right now, somewhere
Telling me I cant compare the two after you compared the two is peak ironic hypocrisy.
 
This is looking increasingly dire.

For once Trump tariff threats did good as I upgraded my desktop a bit early this summer to avoid that price jump which avoided this price jump.

Still, seeing the writing on the wall I grabbed an extra SSD the other day to hold me to 2027.
 
What really is the problem this self engineered chip shortage will set a new standard, higher standard on price for chips again. everything will increase in price but the price will never come down to quite normal again.
 
I can't help but think that I'm done with all of this. Between RAM prices and associated PC hardware going up in price and Microsoft continuously doing stupid crap, I'm about ready to walk away from the PC market altogether.
 
Bruh, you forget we are living in capitalism, more specifically late stage/savage capitalism? They increase the price for every real and manufactured reason by intention, purpose and design.
What am I forgetting? Isn't that basically what I said without the buzzword framing?
 
I looked at the part list I threw together for a friend of mine's a few months back this morning and the corsair vengeance 32gb 6000mhz CL30 kit that was previously ~$130 USD when I put the list together is now a whopping $427.99 USD! WTF.
 
DDR5 RAM kits above 64GB are insanely priced and have doubled in under 30 days. My friend got lucky with a ~ $200 64GB kit in Oct. Now that same kit is $440 or more.
I'm going to stretch my DDR4 setup a year or two more it seems now.
 
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